Football · Scotland League One · 21/11, 16:00
Prediction: East Fife vs Airdrieonians
Team pages: East Fife · Airdrieonians
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
East Fife1.12
Airdrieonians1.44
1X2
East Fife
Draw
Airdrieonians
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
East Fife
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Airdrieonians
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
East Fife
0–1–5
Airdrieonians
(6 last)
- Airdrieonians0-0East Fife
- East Fife0-2Airdrieonians
- Airdrieonians3-0East Fife
- East Fife0-1Airdrieonians
- Airdrieonians3-0East Fife
- Airdrieonians2-0East Fife
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · East Fife 1467 · Airdrieonians 1545
| East Fife | Draw | Airdrieonians | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 29% | 43% |
| Market | 29% | 27% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Airdrieonians (rating 1467 vs 1545).
- H2H favours Airdrieonians: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| East Fife | Airdrieonians | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.8 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 5.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · East Fife 0–1–5 Airdrieonians
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 Scotland League One | Airdrieonians | 0-0 HT 0-0 | East Fife |
| 02/04/22 Scotland League One | East Fife | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Airdrieonians |
| 08/01/22 Scotland League One | Airdrieonians | 3-0 HT 3-0 | East Fife |
| 13/11/21 Scotland League One | East Fife | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Airdrieonians |
| 18/09/21 Scotland League One | Airdrieonians | 3-0 HT 1-0 | East Fife |
| 20/04/21 Scotland League One | Airdrieonians | 2-0 HT 0-0 | East Fife |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 51 | 10 | 41 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 33 |
| 3 | East Kilbride | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 24 |
| 4 | Montrose | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 20 |
| 5 | Airdrieonians | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 19 |
| 6 | East Fife | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 18 |
| 7 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 18 | 15 |
| 8 | Peterhead | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 13 |
| 9 | Queen of South | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 13 |
| 10 | Alloa | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 12 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | East Fife | Airdrieonians |
|---|---|---|
| Peterhead | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Montrose | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Queen of South | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Hamilton | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Alloa | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Cove Rangers | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| East Kilbride | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Ross County | 2-2 D | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
East Fife
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 07/11 | Montrose Scotland League One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 31/10 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 24/10 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
Airdrieonians
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 07/11 | Alloa Scotland League One |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 31/10 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in East Fife vs Airdrieonians?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Airdrieonians win (43%). Probabilities: East Fife 29%, draw 28%, Airdrieonians 43%.
How many goals are expected in East Fife vs Airdrieonians?
The model expects 2.56 goals (East Fife 1.12 · Airdrieonians 1.44), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in East Fife vs Airdrieonians?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.