Football · Cyprus Division 1 · 21/11, 16:00

Prediction: Omonia Nicosia vs Apoel Nicosia

Team pages: Omonia Nicosia · Apoel Nicosia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Omonia Nicosia1.85

Apoel Nicosia1.11

1X2

54% 25% 21%

Omonia Nicosia Draw Apoel Nicosia

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Omonia Nicosia 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWDLWW

Apoel Nicosia 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLDWDWWW

Head-to-head

Omonia Nicosia 3–2–1 Apoel Nicosia (6 last)

Apoel Nicosia0-3Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia2-0Apoel Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia1-0Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia2-2Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia2-1Apoel Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia1-1Omonia Nicosia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Omonia Nicosia 1563 · Apoel Nicosia 1540

	Omonia Nicosia	Draw	Apoel Nicosia
Our model	54%	25%	21%
Market	54%	25%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Omonia Nicosia: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Omonia Nicosia	Apoel Nicosia
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.8	2.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 7.2	2.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.75

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.73▲	Bet365 1.73
X	3.90 → 3.75▼	Bet365 3.75
2	5.00 → 4.33▼	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:26 +62’	1.61	3.90	5.00
17:01 +14’	1.73▲	3.75▼	4.33▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Omonia Nicosia 3–2–1 Apoel Nicosia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Cyprus Division 1	Apoel Nicosia	0-3 HT 0-2	Omonia Nicosia
18/04/26 Cyprus Division 1	Omonia Nicosia	2-0 HT 2-0	Apoel Nicosia
22/02/26 Cyprus Division 1	Apoel Nicosia	1-0 HT 0-0	Omonia Nicosia
09/11/25 Cyprus Division 1	Omonia Nicosia	2-2 HT 1-1	Apoel Nicosia
18/05/25 Cyprus Division 1	Omonia Nicosia	2-1 HT 1-1	Apoel Nicosia
13/04/25 Cyprus Division 1	Apoel Nicosia	1-1 HT 0-0	Omonia Nicosia

Standings · Cyprus Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	9	6	2	1	19	8	20
2	Omonia Nicosia	9	5	3	1	17	6	18
3	AEL Limassol	9	6	0	3	14	14	18
4	Apoel Nicosia	9	5	2	2	21	11	17
5	Pafos FC	9	4	4	1	13	7	16
6	Apollon Limassol	9	4	4	1	21	11	16
7	Aris Limassol	9	4	3	2	13	13	15
8	Omonia 29is Maiou	9	3	2	4	15	17	11
9	Olympiakos Nicosia	9	1	6	2	12	13	9
10	Nea Salamis Famagusta	9	2	2	5	14	18	8
11	Anorthosis Famagusta	9	2	0	7	7	17	6
12	APK Karmotissa	9	1	3	5	6	20	6
13	Omonia Aradippou	9	1	3	5	7	13	6
14	Krasava ENY Ypsonas	9	1	2	6	9	20	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Omonia Nicosia	Apoel Nicosia
Anorthosis Famagusta	2-0 W	1-2 L
AEL Limassol	2-0 W	6-0 W
AEK Larnaca	0-2 L	1-3 L
Apollon Limassol	0-0 D	2-2 D
Aris Limassol	4-1 W	3-1 W
Omonia Aradippou	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Omonia Nicosia

WDWDWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1	2-0	2-0	4	7	W
31/10	AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1	2-0	2-0	4	9	W
26/10	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1	0-0	0-2	7	8	L
19/10	Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1	1-2	2-2	7	4	D
09/10	APK Karmotissa Cyprus Division 1	0-0	3-0	10	5	W
20/09	Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1	1-1	4-1	13	5	W
12/09	Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
07/09	Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1	1-0	4-1	6	4	W
31/08	Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1	0-0	0-0	10	4	D
22/05	Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1	1-1	5-2	6	4	W

Apoel Nicosia

LLWLDWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1	2-1	3-1	7	4	W
01/11	Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1	0-0	2-1	3	8	W
25/10	Omonia 29is Maiou Cyprus Division 1	2-1	4-1	11	6	W
19/10	Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
10/10	Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
19/09	Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1	1-2	2-2	1	5	D
12/09	Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
06/09	AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1	2-0	6-0	3	6	W
29/08	AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1	0-2	1-3	5	7	L
22/05	Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1	0-2	0-2	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Omonia Nicosia vs Apoel Nicosia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Omonia Nicosia win (54%). Probabilities: Omonia Nicosia 54%, draw 25%, Apoel Nicosia 21%.

How many goals are expected in Omonia Nicosia vs Apoel Nicosia?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Omonia Nicosia 1.85 · Apoel Nicosia 1.11), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Omonia Nicosia vs Apoel Nicosia?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.