Football · Switzerland Super League · 21/11, 18:00
Prediction: Lugano vs Grasshoppers
Team pages: Lugano · Grasshoppers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.83Total
Lugano2.64
Grasshoppers1.19
1X2
Lugano
Draw
Grasshoppers
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Lugano
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Grasshoppers
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lugano
2–3–1
Grasshoppers
(6 last)
- Grasshoppers1-4Lugano
- Grasshoppers1-0Lugano
- Grasshoppers1-1Lugano
- Lugano2-1Grasshoppers
- Lugano1-1Grasshoppers
- Grasshoppers1-1Lugano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lugano 1609 · Grasshoppers 1483
| Lugano | Draw | Grasshoppers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 18% | 14% |
| Market | 67% | 19% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lugano (rating 1609 vs 1483).
- H2H favours Lugano: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lugano | Grasshoppers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.3 | 2.9 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lugano 2–3–1 Grasshoppers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 Switzerland Super League | Grasshoppers | 1-4 HT 1-0 | Lugano |
| 01/03/26 Switzerland Super League | Grasshoppers | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Lugano |
| 31/01/26 Switzerland Super League | Grasshoppers | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Lugano |
| 27/09/25 Switzerland Super League | Lugano | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Grasshoppers |
| 08/02/25 Switzerland Super League | Lugano | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Grasshoppers |
| 31/10/24 Switzerland Super League | Grasshoppers | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Lugano |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 15 | 34 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 41 | 25 | 28 |
| 3 | FC Sion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | St Gallen | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 22 |
| 5 | FC Zurich | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 21 |
| 6 | Servette | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
| 7 | Basel | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 25 | 15 |
| 8 | FC Thun | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 37 | 14 |
| 9 | Lucerne | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 28 | 13 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 11 |
| 11 | FC Vaduz | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 10 |
| 12 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lugano | Grasshoppers |
|---|---|---|
| St Gallen | 0-5 L | 2-0 W |
| Basel | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| FC Thun | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Lucerne | 4-0 W | 1-5 L |
| FC Lausanne-Sport | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Young Boys | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| FC Sion | 2-1 W | 2-5 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Lugano (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lugano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/11 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 25/10 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 16/09 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
4-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 03/09 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Grasshoppers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 31/10 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 25/10 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Young Boys Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 15/09 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | FC Thun Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 02/09 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
2-2 | 2-5 | 9 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lugano vs Grasshoppers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lugano win (67%). Probabilities: Lugano 67%, draw 18%, Grasshoppers 14%.
How many goals are expected in Lugano vs Grasshoppers?
The model expects 3.83 goals (Lugano 2.64 · Grasshoppers 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Lugano vs Grasshoppers?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.