Prediction: Kalamata vs AEK Athens
Team pages: Kalamata · AEK Athens
| Kalamata | Draw | AEK Athens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 19% | 70% |
| Market | 12% | 19% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kalamata | AEK Athens | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.9 | 2.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.5 | 3.3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.6 |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 27 |
| 2 | Olympiacos | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | PAOK Salonika | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 19 |
| 5 | Aris Salonika | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 19 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | Kifisias FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | Kalamata | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 12 |
| 9 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 9 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 7 |
| 12 | Atromitos Athinon | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 6 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 6 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kalamata | AEK Athens |
|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Iraklis 1908 FC | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Olympiacos | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| OFI Crete | 4-3 W | 3-0 W |
| Panathinaikos | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Volos NFC | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Panetolikos | 0-2 L | 5-0 W |
| Aris Salonika | 2-3 L | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 5 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: AEK Athens (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kalamata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 02/11 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/10 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 4-3 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 12/10 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Atromitos Athinon Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 29/08 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 22/08 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
AEK Athens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 01/11 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 24/10 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
3-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kalamata vs AEK Athens?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AEK Athens win (69%). Probabilities: Kalamata 12%, draw 19%, AEK Athens 69%.
How many goals are expected in Kalamata vs AEK Athens?
The model expects 3.4 goals (Kalamata 0.95 · AEK Athens 2.45), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Kalamata vs AEK Athens?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.

