Prediction: Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur FC
Team pages: Wellington Phoenix · Macarthur FC
- Macarthur FC4-0Wellington Phoenix
- Wellington Phoenix0-1Macarthur FC
- Macarthur FC1-2Wellington Phoenix
- Wellington Phoenix1-2Macarthur FC
- Wellington Phoenix3-0Macarthur FC
- Macarthur FC1-2Wellington Phoenix
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Macarthur FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Market | 51% | 25% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wellington Phoenix | Macarthur FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.2 | 2.4 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wellington Phoenix 3–0–3 Macarthur FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Australia A-League | Macarthur FC | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Wellington Phoenix |
| 22/11/25 Australia A-League | Wellington Phoenix | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Macarthur FC |
| 20/01/25 Australia A-League | Macarthur FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Wellington Phoenix |
| 14/12/24 Australia A-League | Wellington Phoenix | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Macarthur FC |
| 27/04/24 Australia A-League | Wellington Phoenix | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Macarthur FC |
| 18/02/24 Australia A-League | Macarthur FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Wellington Phoenix |
Standings · Australia A-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Brisbane Roar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Melbourne City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Perth Glory | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Auckland FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | Newcastle Jets | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 11 | Central Coast Mariners | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 12 | Adelaide United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wellington Phoenix | Macarthur FC |
|---|---|---|
| Auckland FC | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Newcastle Jets | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Melbourne Victory | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Brisbane Roar | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Perth Glory | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Wellington Phoenix (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wellington Phoenix
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 31/10 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/10 | Central Coast Mariners Australia A-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Melbourne Victory Australia A-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Macarthur FC Australia A-League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Western Sydney Wanderers Australia A-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 05/04 | Melbourne Victory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Brisbane Roar Australia A-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 14/03 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
Macarthur FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Brisbane Roar Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/10 | Western Sydney Wanderers Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 24/10 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Adelaide United Australia A-League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 02/04 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | Melbourne Victory Australia A-League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wellington Phoenix win (50%). Probabilities: Wellington Phoenix 50%, draw 26%, Macarthur FC 24%.
How many goals are expected in Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur FC?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Wellington Phoenix 1.61 · Macarthur FC 1.03), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.