Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 21/11, 14:00

Prediction: Amedspor vs Caykur Rizespor

Team pages: Amedspor · Caykur Rizespor

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
Amedspor2.04
Caykur Rizespor1.27
1X2
54% 24% 22%
Amedspor Draw Caykur Rizespor
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Amedspor 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWWDWWWL
Caykur Rizespor 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWLWDLLLDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amedspor 1546 · Caykur Rizespor 1489
AmedsporDrawCaykur Rizespor
Our model54%23%23%
Market53%25%22%
Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amedspor (rating 1546 vs 1489).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AmedsporCaykur Rizespor
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 1.51.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.60.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.32.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.5 / 0.43.4 / 0.1

Standings · Türkiye Super Lig

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Galatasaray 11911 271528
2 Trabzonspor 11812 26825
3 Amedspor 11722 281523
4 Besiktas 11713 231222
5 Kasimpasa 11551 171120
6 Fenerbahce 11614 291019
7 Kocaelispor 11614 13919
8 Istanbul Basaksehir 11524 191717
9 Corum Belediyespor 11515 212116
10 Goztepe 11434 221915
11 Caykur Rizespor 11425 131614
12 Erzurumspor FK 11425 101714
13 Alanyaspor 11335 91812
14 Genclerbirligi 11326 122111
15 Konyaspor 11227 6148
16 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 11227 9198
17 Samsunspor 11218 11267
18 Eyupspor 111010 3303

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAmedsporCaykur Rizespor
Eyupspor 5-1 W 2-0 W
Samsunspor 2-1 W 0-2 L
Trabzonspor 2-1 W 3-4 L
Kocaelispor 0-2 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Amedspor (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amedspor

LWDWWDWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Galatasaray
Türkiye Super Lig
0-2 3-4 63 L
01/11 Eyupspor
Türkiye Super Lig
3-0 5-1 72 W
24/10 Samsunspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 2-1 89 W
17/10 Konyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 1-0 74 W
10/10 Genclerbirligi
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 2-2 38 D
20/09 Besiktas
Türkiye Super Lig
2-0 3-2 114 W
13/09 Istanbul Basaksehir
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 5-0 33 W
06/09 Kasimpasa
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 2-2 97 D
31/08 Trabzonspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 2-1 27 W
24/08 Kocaelispor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-2 72 L

Caykur Rizespor

LWLWDLLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Erzurumspor FK
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 2-1 83 W
31/10 Kocaelispor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-0 47 D
26/10 Trabzonspor
Türkiye Super Lig
2-0 3-4 44 L
16/10 Corum Belediyespor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-1 1-2 84 L
10/10 Fenerbahce
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-3 20 L
20/09 Goztepe
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 2-2 36 D
12/09 Eyupspor
Türkiye Super Lig
1-0 2-0 24 W
07/09 Alanyaspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-0 0-1 82 L
29/08 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Türkiye Super Lig
2-0 2-1 03 W
22/08 Samsunspor
Türkiye Super Lig
0-1 0-2 102 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amedspor vs Caykur Rizespor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Amedspor win (54%). Probabilities: Amedspor 54%, draw 24%, Caykur Rizespor 22%.

How many goals are expected in Amedspor vs Caykur Rizespor?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Amedspor 2.04 · Caykur Rizespor 1.27), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Amedspor vs Caykur Rizespor?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.