Prediction: Strasbourg vs Brest
Team pages: Strasbourg · Brest
- Brest1-2Strasbourg
- Strasbourg1-2Brest
- Strasbourg0-0Brest
- Brest3-1Strasbourg
- Strasbourg0-3Brest
- Brest1-1Strasbourg
| Strasbourg | Draw | Brest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| Market | 44% | 25% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brest (rating 1472 vs 1519).
- H2H favours Brest: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Strasbourg | Brest | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.2 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.5 | 1.7 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Strasbourg 1–2–3 Brest
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 France Ligue 1 | Brest | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Strasbourg |
| 30/11/25 France Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Brest |
| 23/02/25 France Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Brest |
| 30/11/24 France Ligue 1 | Brest | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Strasbourg |
| 24/02/24 France Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Brest |
| 07/12/23 France Ligue 1 | Brest | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Strasbourg |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 18 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Nice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | Monaco | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | Rennes | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 16 |
| 9 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | Lorient | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 22 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 8 |
| 17 | Troyes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Strasbourg | Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Auxerre | 5-1 W | 1-2 L |
| PSG | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Nice | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Brest (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Strasbourg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 01/11 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/10 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 6-2 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
Brest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 02/11 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 23/10 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 17/10 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
4-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Le Mans France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Strasbourg vs Brest?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Strasbourg win (44%). Probabilities: Strasbourg 44%, draw 25%, Brest 31%.
How many goals are expected in Strasbourg vs Brest?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Strasbourg 1.78 · Brest 1.49), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Strasbourg vs Brest?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.