Football · Russia Premier League · 21/11, 17:45
Prediction: CSKA Moscow vs FC Akhmat Grozny
Team pages: CSKA Moscow · FC Akhmat Grozny
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
CSKA Moscow1.91
FC Akhmat Grozny1.09
1X2
CSKA Moscow
Draw
FC Akhmat Grozny
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
CSKA Moscow
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
FC Akhmat Grozny
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSKA Moscow
4–1–1
FC Akhmat Grozny
(6 last)
- FC Akhmat Grozny1-0CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow2-1FC Akhmat Grozny
- FC Akhmat Grozny1-1CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow1-0FC Akhmat Grozny
- CSKA Moscow3-0FC Akhmat Grozny
- FC Akhmat Grozny0-2CSKA Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSKA Moscow (rating 1548 vs 1480).
- H2H favours CSKA Moscow: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSKA Moscow | FC Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.8 | – / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.1 | 5.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSKA Moscow 4–1–1 FC Akhmat Grozny
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Russia Premier League | FC Akhmat Grozny | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CSKA Moscow |
| 27/07/25 Russia Premier League | CSKA Moscow | 2-1 HT 2-1 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 04/05/25 Russia Premier League | FC Akhmat Grozny | 1-1 HT 1-1 | CSKA Moscow |
| 22/10/24 Russia Cup | CSKA Moscow | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 28/09/24 Russia Premier League | CSKA Moscow | 3-0 HT 2-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 27/08/24 Russia Cup | FC Akhmat Grozny | 0-2 HT 0-0 | CSKA Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 15 | 31 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 29 |
| 4 | Krasnodar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 26 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 6 | Rostov | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 19 |
| 7 | Krylia Sovetov | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 18 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 18 |
| 9 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Orenburg | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 16 |
| 12 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 14 |
| 13 | Rodina Moscow | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 12 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 12 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 11 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSKA Moscow | FC Akhmat Grozny |
|---|---|---|
| FC Orenburg | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Dinamo Moscow | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Rodina Moscow | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Rubin Kazan | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Zenit St Petersburg | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Akron Tolyatti | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: CSKA Moscow (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSKA Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 01/11 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 12 | D |
| 25/10 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/09 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 28/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
FC Akhmat Grozny
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/10 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/10 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 11/10 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 17/09 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 13/09 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 07/09 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 29/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSKA Moscow vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSKA Moscow win (55%). Probabilities: CSKA Moscow 55%, draw 24%, FC Akhmat Grozny 20%.
How many goals are expected in CSKA Moscow vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
The model expects 3 goals (CSKA Moscow 1.91 · FC Akhmat Grozny 1.09), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CSKA Moscow vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.