Football · Japan J-League · 21/11, 06:00

Prediction: Kyoto Sanga FC vs Urawa Red Diamonds

Team pages: Kyoto Sanga FC · Urawa Red Diamonds

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

Kyoto Sanga FC1.36

Urawa Red Diamonds1.41

1X2

35% 28% 37%

Kyoto Sanga FC Draw Urawa Red Diamonds

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Kyoto Sanga FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLDDWW

Urawa Red Diamonds 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWWLD

Head-to-head

Kyoto Sanga FC 0–3–3 Urawa Red Diamonds (6 last)

Urawa Red Diamonds2-1Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC1-1Urawa Red Diamonds
Kyoto Sanga FC0-0Urawa Red Diamonds
Urawa Red Diamonds3-0Kyoto Sanga FC
Urawa Red Diamonds0-0Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC0-2Urawa Red Diamonds

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Urawa Red Diamonds (rating 1521 vs 1583).
H2H favours Urawa Red Diamonds: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kyoto Sanga FC	Urawa Red Diamonds
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.7	3 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	2.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.91

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:14

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.18 → 3.18	Pinn 3.18
X	3.82 → 3.82	Pinn 3.82
2	2.12 → 2.12	Pinn 2.12

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:14	3.18	3.82	2.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kyoto Sanga FC 0–3–3 Urawa Red Diamonds

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/04/25 Japan J-League	Urawa Red Diamonds	2-1 HT 1-0	Kyoto Sanga FC
22/02/25 Japan J-League	Kyoto Sanga FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Urawa Red Diamonds
14/07/24 Japan J-League	Kyoto Sanga FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Urawa Red Diamonds
15/05/24 Japan J-League	Urawa Red Diamonds	3-0 HT 1-0	Kyoto Sanga FC
15/09/23 Japan J-League	Urawa Red Diamonds	0-0 HT 0-0	Kyoto Sanga FC
27/05/23 Japan J-League	Kyoto Sanga FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Urawa Red Diamonds

Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tokyo	14	10	3	1	33	8	33
2	Kashiwa Reysol	14	10	1	3	31	20	31
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	14	9	3	2	32	10	30
4	Machida Zelvia	14	8	5	1	30	10	29
5	Vissel Kobe	14	8	3	3	23	14	27
6	Kashima Antlers	14	7	2	5	29	24	23
7	Yokohama F-Marinos	14	5	7	2	21	15	22
8	Kawasaki Frontale	14	6	4	4	28	24	22
9	Urawa Red Diamonds	14	7	1	6	23	29	22
10	Fagiano Okayama	14	5	2	7	16	22	17
11	Cerezo Osaka	14	4	5	5	16	25	17
12	Kyoto Sanga FC	14	4	4	6	19	23	16
13	Nagoya Grampus	14	4	2	8	15	23	14
14	Tokyo Verdy	14	3	5	6	12	22	14
15	Shimizu S-Pulse	14	4	2	8	10	23	14
16	V-Varen Nagasaki	14	3	4	7	17	22	13
17	JEF Utd Chiba	14	3	4	7	16	24	13
18	Gamba Osaka	14	2	6	6	16	24	12
19	Mito Hollyhock	14	2	3	9	12	26	9
20	Avispa Fukuoka	14	2	2	10	14	25	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kyoto Sanga FC	Urawa Red Diamonds
Kashima Antlers	2-2 D	1-0 W
Fagiano Okayama	2-1 W	1-2 L
Kashiwa Reysol	2-3 L	0-4 L
FC Tokyo	0-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kyoto Sanga FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kyoto Sanga FC

DLLWLLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
31/10	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	2-0	2-0	6	6	W
24/10	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	1-1	2-2	2	3	D
21/10	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	1-0	2-2	2	2	D
17/10	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
10/10	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
19/09	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
11/09	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	2-0	2-3	7	5	L
06/09	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
02/09	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	4	3	D

Urawa Red Diamonds

WWLWLWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	0-1	2-2	5	0	D
31/10	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	0-1	0-4	6	5	L
25/10	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
21/10	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	1-1	3-2	6	5	W
17/10	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	13	3	W
10/10	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	0-0	0-3	3	1	L
19/09	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	3-0	3-1	8	2	W
13/09	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
06/09	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
02/09	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	1-2	3-2	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kyoto Sanga FC vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Urawa Red Diamonds win (37%). Probabilities: Kyoto Sanga FC 35%, draw 28%, Urawa Red Diamonds 37%.

How many goals are expected in Kyoto Sanga FC vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Kyoto Sanga FC 1.36 · Urawa Red Diamonds 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kyoto Sanga FC vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.