Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 22/11, 13:30

Prediction: Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden

Team pages: Kaiserslautern · Dynamo Dresden

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

Kaiserslautern1.45

Dynamo Dresden1.08

1X2

45% 27% 28%

Kaiserslautern Draw Dynamo Dresden

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Kaiserslautern 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWDWWLW

Dynamo Dresden 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDLDWLLW

Head-to-head

Kaiserslautern 2–1–3 Dynamo Dresden (6 last)

Dynamo Dresden1-0Kaiserslautern
Kaiserslautern3-1Dynamo Dresden
Kaiserslautern0-3Dynamo Dresden
Dynamo Dresden0-2Kaiserslautern
Kaiserslautern0-0Dynamo Dresden
Dynamo Dresden4-3Kaiserslautern

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kaiserslautern 1559 · Dynamo Dresden 1495

	Kaiserslautern	Draw	Dynamo Dresden
Our model	44%	29%	27%
Market	46%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaiserslautern (rating 1559 vs 1495).
H2H favours Dynamo Dresden: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kaiserslautern	Dynamo Dresden
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.7	1.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.2	3.1 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	4.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.50

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.79
2	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.60 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.8% Pinnacle margin 4.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:12	2.00	3.50	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:07 +6’	1.98	3.79	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kaiserslautern 2–1–3 Dynamo Dresden

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Germany Bundesliga II	Dynamo Dresden	1-0 HT 0-0	Kaiserslautern
06/12/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Kaiserslautern	3-1 HT 1-0	Dynamo Dresden
10/01/24 Club Friendly List	Kaiserslautern	0-3 HT 0-2	Dynamo Dresden
24/05/22 Germany Bundesliga II Play-Offs	Dynamo Dresden	0-2 HT 0-0	Kaiserslautern
20/05/22 Germany Bundesliga II Play-Offs	Kaiserslautern	0-0 HT 0-0	Dynamo Dresden
23/01/21 Germany 3. Liga	Dynamo Dresden	4-3 HT 2-1	Kaiserslautern

Standings · Germany Bundesliga II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	11	10	1	0	25	9	31
2	Nurnberg	11	7	3	1	26	13	24
3	Kaiserslautern	11	6	3	2	10	7	21
4	Magdeburg	11	6	2	3	25	14	20
5	Wolfsburg	11	5	4	2	26	16	19
6	Arminia Bielefeld	11	5	2	4	18	16	17
7	Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	19	20	16
8	Bochum	11	4	2	5	11	13	14
9	St Pauli	11	2	6	3	13	16	12
10	Greuther Furth	11	3	3	5	13	19	12
11	Hannover 96	11	3	3	5	12	18	12
12	Cottbus	11	2	5	4	18	20	11
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	3	2	6	16	18	11
14	VfL Osnabruck	11	3	2	6	14	18	11
15	Dynamo Dresden	11	3	2	6	15	20	11
16	Karlsruher SC	11	3	2	6	15	24	11
17	Darmstadt	11	2	3	6	9	21	9
18	Holstein Kiel	11	1	5	5	11	14	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kaiserslautern	Dynamo Dresden
VfL Osnabruck	1-0 W	1-1 D
Hertha Berlin	0-3 L	1-2 L
Bochum	2-0 W	1-2 L
Heidenheim	0-0 D	3-5 L
Eintracht Braunschweig	1-0 W	2-2 D
Magdeburg	0-3 L	2-0 W
Darmstadt	3-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kaiserslautern (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kaiserslautern

DWWLWDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	VfL Osnabruck Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
31/10	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
24/10	Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
17/10	Bochum Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
09/10	Heidenheim Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
19/09	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
12/09	Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
05/09	Darmstadt Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	3-0	9	5	W
30/08	St Pauli Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
15/08	Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-0	4	6	D

Dynamo Dresden

WLLDLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
01/11	Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
25/10	Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-3	10	6	L
18/10	Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
10/10	VfL Osnabruck Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-1	10	9	D
19/09	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
12/09	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
05/09	Bochum Germany Bundesliga II	1-2	1-2	8	8	L
29/08	Heidenheim Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	3-5	9	5	L
16/08	Darmstadt Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-0	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kaiserslautern win (45%). Probabilities: Kaiserslautern 45%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 28%.

How many goals are expected in Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Kaiserslautern 1.45 · Dynamo Dresden 1.08), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.