Football · Japan J2-League · 22/11, 06:00
Prediction: Tokushima Vortis vs Shonan Bellmare
Team pages: Tokushima Vortis · Shonan Bellmare
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Tokushima Vortis1.2
Shonan Bellmare1.01
1X2
Tokushima Vortis
Draw
Shonan Bellmare
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Tokushima Vortis
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Shonan Bellmare
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tokushima Vortis
1–2–3
Shonan Bellmare
(6 last)
- Shonan Bellmare0-1Tokushima Vortis
- Tokushima Vortis1-1Shonan Bellmare
- Shonan Bellmare1-1Tokushima Vortis
- Shonan Bellmare2-0Tokushima Vortis
- Tokushima Vortis0-1Shonan Bellmare
- Shonan Bellmare4-0Tokushima Vortis
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Shonan Bellmare: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tokushima Vortis | Shonan Bellmare | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.4 | 3.6 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokushima Vortis 1–2–3 Shonan Bellmare
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/21 Japan J-League | Shonan Bellmare | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tokushima Vortis |
| 30/05/21 Japan J-League | Tokushima Vortis | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Shonan Bellmare |
| 14/12/19 Japan J-League Play-Offs | Shonan Bellmare | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Tokushima Vortis |
| 29/07/17 Japan J2-League | Shonan Bellmare | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Tokushima Vortis |
| 10/06/17 Japan J2-League | Tokushima Vortis | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shonan Bellmare |
| 22/09/16 Japan Cup | Shonan Bellmare | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Tokushima Vortis |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 15 | 33 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 19 | 33 |
| 3 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 32 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 27 | 32 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 19 | 31 |
| 6 | Kataller Toyama | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 31 |
| 7 | Jubilo Iwata | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 26 |
| 8 | Shonan Bellmare | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 26 |
| 9 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 26 |
| 10 | Iwaki FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 24 | 24 |
| 11 | Sagan Tosu | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 23 |
| 12 | Oita | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 22 |
| 13 | Blaublitz Akita | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 22 | 20 |
| 14 | Tokushima Vortis | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 15 | Fujieda MYFC | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 19 |
| 16 | Montedio Yamagata | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 19 |
| 17 | Tochigi City | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 32 | 15 |
| 18 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | 15 |
| 19 | FC Imabari | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 12 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 35 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tokushima Vortis | Shonan Bellmare |
|---|---|---|
| Kataller Toyama | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Yokohama FC | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Fujieda MYFC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Imabari | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Albirex Niigata | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Tochigi City | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 3 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tokushima Vortis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 07/11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/11 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 31/10 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/10 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 21/10 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 17/10 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Shonan Bellmare
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Yokohama FC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 08/11 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/11 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 31/10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 21/10 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 11/10 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tokushima Vortis vs Shonan Bellmare?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tokushima Vortis win (39%). Probabilities: Tokushima Vortis 39%, draw 32%, Shonan Bellmare 30%.
How many goals are expected in Tokushima Vortis vs Shonan Bellmare?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Tokushima Vortis 1.2 · Shonan Bellmare 1.01), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tokushima Vortis vs Shonan Bellmare?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.