Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 21/11, 13:00

Prediction: Nurnberg vs Eintracht Braunschweig

Team pages: Nurnberg · Eintracht Braunschweig

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.62Total

Nurnberg2.25

Eintracht Braunschweig1.37

1X2

56% 22% 22%

Nurnberg Draw Eintracht Braunschweig

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Nurnberg 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWDDLWW

Eintracht Braunschweig 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDLWLWLD

Head-to-head

Nurnberg 4–2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig (6 last)

Eintracht Braunschweig1-1Nurnberg
Nurnberg2-1Eintracht Braunschweig
Eintracht Braunschweig1-4Nurnberg
Nurnberg1-0Eintracht Braunschweig
Nurnberg2-1Eintracht Braunschweig
Eintracht Braunschweig2-2Nurnberg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nurnberg 1560 · Eintracht Braunschweig 1439

	Nurnberg	Draw	Eintracht Braunschweig
Our model	57%	22%	22%
Market	56%	23%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nurnberg (rating 1560 vs 1439).
H2H favours Nurnberg: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nurnberg	Eintracht Braunschweig
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.3	1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 6.2	2.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X4.10

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.66
X	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.47 ★
2	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1% Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:07 +9’	1.65	4.10	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:12 +4’	1.66	4.47	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nurnberg 4–2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Germany Bundesliga II	Eintracht Braunschweig	1-1 HT 0-1	Nurnberg
01/11/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Nurnberg	2-1 HT 2-1	Eintracht Braunschweig
18/05/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Eintracht Braunschweig	1-4 HT 0-4	Nurnberg
21/12/24 Germany Bundesliga II	Nurnberg	1-0 HT 0-0	Eintracht Braunschweig
02/03/24 Germany Bundesliga II	Nurnberg	2-1 HT 2-0	Eintracht Braunschweig
23/09/23 Germany Bundesliga II	Eintracht Braunschweig	2-2 HT 1-2	Nurnberg

Standings · Germany Bundesliga II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	11	10	1	0	25	9	31
2	Nurnberg	11	7	3	1	26	13	24
3	Kaiserslautern	11	6	3	2	10	7	21
4	Magdeburg	11	6	2	3	25	14	20
5	Wolfsburg	11	5	4	2	26	16	19
6	Arminia Bielefeld	11	5	2	4	18	16	17
7	Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	19	20	16
8	Bochum	11	4	2	5	11	13	14
9	St Pauli	11	2	6	3	13	16	12
10	Greuther Furth	11	3	3	5	13	19	12
11	Hannover 96	11	3	3	5	12	18	12
12	Cottbus	11	2	5	4	18	20	11
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	3	2	6	16	18	11
14	VfL Osnabruck	11	3	2	6	14	18	11
15	Dynamo Dresden	11	3	2	6	15	20	11
16	Karlsruher SC	11	3	2	6	15	24	11
17	Darmstadt	11	2	3	6	9	21	9
18	Holstein Kiel	11	1	5	5	11	14	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nurnberg	Eintracht Braunschweig
Kaiserslautern	0-1 L	0-1 L
Cottbus	1-1 D	0-0 D
Hannover 96	2-1 W	2-0 W
Holstein Kiel	2-2 D	1-0 W
Arminia Bielefeld	4-1 W	1-3 L
Greuther Furth	4-2 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nurnberg

WWDWWDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Darmstadt Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	2-0	10	3	W
01/11	St Pauli Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	3-1	2	6	W
24/10	Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-1	11	5	L
16/10	Cottbus Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
10/10	Wolfsburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	4-4	6	8	D
19/09	Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
11/09	Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
05/09	Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-2	8	7	D
29/08	Arminia Bielefeld Germany Bundesliga II	3-0	4-1	3	2	W
15/08	Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II	2-2	4-2	3	5	W

Eintracht Braunschweig

LLLDLWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Cottbus Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
30/10	Arminia Bielefeld Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	1-3	4	2	L
25/10	Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
17/10	Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-2	9	1	L
09/10	Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
19/09	Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
12/09	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-2	2	5	D
06/09	VfL Osnabruck Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-3	5	6	L
28/08	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	2-2	3-5	5	6	L
14/08	Bochum Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-1	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nurnberg vs Eintracht Braunschweig?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nurnberg win (56%). Probabilities: Nurnberg 56%, draw 22%, Eintracht Braunschweig 22%.

How many goals are expected in Nurnberg vs Eintracht Braunschweig?

The model expects 3.62 goals (Nurnberg 2.25 · Eintracht Braunschweig 1.37), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nurnberg vs Eintracht Braunschweig?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.