Football · England League 1 · 21/11, 16:00

Prediction: Cambridge Utd vs Stockport

Team pages: Cambridge Utd · Stockport

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Cambridge Utd0.95

Stockport1.57

1X2

23% 26% 51%

Cambridge Utd Draw Stockport

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Cambridge Utd 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDWWDLDL

Stockport 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWDLWW

Head-to-head

Cambridge Utd 1–1–1 Stockport (3 last)

Stockport0-0Cambridge Utd
Cambridge Utd2-0Stockport
Stockport2-0Cambridge Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cambridge Utd 1519 · Stockport 1556

	Cambridge Utd	Draw	Stockport
Our model	22%	28%	51%
Market	23%	24%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 17.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cambridge Utd	Stockport
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	1.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/30/70%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 9.7	3.5 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.75

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.82

2 (-0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.50▼	Bet365 3.50
X	3.75 → 3.70▼	Pinn 4.16 ★
2	1.75 → 1.85▲	Pinn 1.90

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.7% Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:18 +8’	3.90	3.75	1.75
14:43 +21’	3.50▼	3.70▼	1.85▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:25 +1’	3.45	4.16	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cambridge Utd 1–1–1 Stockport

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/12/25 England FA Cup	Stockport	0-0 HT 0-0	Cambridge Utd
22/02/25 England League 1	Cambridge Utd	2-0 HT 2-0	Stockport
10/08/24 England League 1	Stockport	2-0 HT 1-0	Cambridge Utd

Standings · England League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huddersfield	14	8	5	1	28	12	29
2	Stockport	15	9	2	4	29	15	29
3	Oxford Utd	13	7	5	1	22	11	26
4	Luton	14	7	3	4	27	21	24
5	Sheff Wed	14	6	5	3	25	14	23
6	Plymouth	15	7	2	6	21	22	23
7	Reading	15	6	4	5	26	18	22
8	Bradford	13	6	4	3	10	8	22
9	Milton Keynes Dons	14	5	6	3	28	22	21
10	Cambridge Utd	14	5	6	3	21	21	21
11	Leicester	13	5	4	4	22	19	19
12	Mansfield	13	5	4	4	20	18	19
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	21	23	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	19	14	17
15	Burton Albion	15	4	5	6	20	27	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	17	13	16
17	AFC Wimbledon	14	4	4	6	10	21	16
18	Notts County	12	3	5	4	13	14	14
19	Wigan	15	4	2	9	13	23	14
20	Blackpool	13	3	3	7	17	22	12
21	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	14	22	12
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	11	23	10
23	Barnsley	13	2	3	8	13	24	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	13	33	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cambridge Utd	Stockport
Sheff Wed	1-1 D	0-0 D
Barnsley	2-1 W	3-1 W
AFC Wimbledon	1-1 D	2-1 W
Oxford Utd	1-1 D	0-1 L
Reading	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Stockport (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cambridge Utd

DWDDWWDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Leyton Orient England League 1	0-1	0-3	7	4	L
27/10	Sheff Wed England League 1	0-0	1-1	11	2	D
24/10	Plymouth England League 1	0-1	2-3	13	4	L
20/10	Wycombe England League 1	0-1	2-2	12	4	D
17/10	Barnsley England League 1	0-1	2-1	11	7	W
10/10	Blackpool England League 1	0-0	1-0	13	4	W
26/09	AFC Wimbledon England League 1	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
19/09	Oxford Utd England League 1	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
12/09	Reading England League 1	0-1	2-1	7	3	W
05/09	Burton Albion England League 1	1-1	2-2	7	3	D

Stockport

LDWWWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	Reading England League 1	2-1	3-1	7	5	W
31/10	AFC Wimbledon England League 1	0-0	2-1	10	2	W
27/10	Oxford Utd England League 1	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
24/10	Notts County England League 1	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
20/10	Doncaster England League 1	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
17/10	Bromley England League 1	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
10/10	Barnsley England League 1	0-1	3-1	11	3	W
26/09	Peterborough England League 1	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
19/09	Sheff Wed England League 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
12/09	Leicester England League 1	1-2	3-4	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cambridge Utd vs Stockport?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stockport win (51%). Probabilities: Cambridge Utd 23%, draw 26%, Stockport 51%.

How many goals are expected in Cambridge Utd vs Stockport?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Cambridge Utd 0.95 · Stockport 1.57), with a 60% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cambridge Utd vs Stockport?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.