Football · Italy Serie B · 22/11, 15:00

Prediction: Avellino vs Mantova

Team pages: Avellino · Mantova

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Avellino1.35
Mantova1.12
1X2
41% 30% 30%
Avellino Draw Mantova
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Avellino 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WWDLWDLDWD
Mantova 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WDWDWLWLDD
Head-to-head
Avellino 1–1–0 Mantova (2 last)
  • Mantova0-2Avellino
  • Avellino0-0Mantova
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Avellino 1536 · Mantova 1497
AvellinoDrawMantova
Our model41%30%30%
Market41%30%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AvellinoMantova
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.91.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.30.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 42.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 04.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Avellino 1–1–0 Mantova

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
Italy Serie B
Mantova0-2
HT 0-0
Avellino
04/10/25
Italy Serie B
Avellino0-0
HT 0-0
Mantova

Standings · Italy Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Palermo 11830 251327
2 Modena 11722 201023
3 Ascoli 11551 17720
4 Mantova 11542 151119
5 Verona 11443 191316
6 Avellino 11443 161116
7 Benevento 11443 151116
8 Pisa 11443 201716
9 Cremonese 11434 141215
10 Sudtirol 11362 131215
11 Padova 11434 121315
12 Cesena 11362 121415
13 Juve Stabia 11443 121112
14 Sampdoria 11326 111811
15 Arezzo 11326 92011
16 Virtus Entella 11245 111410
17 Carrarese 11317 91410
18 Empoli 11236 12199
19 Vicenza 11236 14249
20 Catanzaro 11137 11236

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAvellinoMantova
Pisa 2-0 W 2-2 D
Virtus Entella 1-1 D 1-0 W
Cesena 1-1 D 1-1 D
Sampdoria 4-1 W 2-0 W
Palermo 1-1 D 0-2 L
Modena 1-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 0 L 2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Avellino (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Avellino

WWDLWDLDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Benevento
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 35 D
01/11 Pisa
Italy Serie B
1-0 2-0 81 W
27/10 Virtus Entella
Italy Serie B
0-1 1-1 45 D
24/10 Padova
Italy Serie B
0-1 0-1 112 L
18/10 Cesena
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 52 D
09/10 Sampdoria
Italy Serie B
4-1 4-1 05 W
19/09 Ascoli
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-3 14 L
13/09 Palermo
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 43 D
06/09 Modena
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-0 25 W
29/08 Vicenza
Italy Serie B
2-0 3-0 27 W

Mantova

WDWDWLWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Verona
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-0 33 D
31/10 Modena
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 75 D
27/10 Cremonese
Italy Serie B
0-1 0-2 57 L
24/10 Virtus Entella
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-0 110 W
17/10 Palermo
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-2 31 L
11/10 Catanzaro
Italy Serie B
2-0 3-1 64 W
20/09 Pisa
Italy Serie B
1-1 2-2 56 D
13/09 Sampdoria
Italy Serie B
0-0 2-0 53 W
06/09 Cesena
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-1 41 D
30/08 Empoli
Italy Serie B
0-0 3-1 38 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Avellino vs Mantova?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Avellino win (41%). Probabilities: Avellino 41%, draw 30%, Mantova 30%.

How many goals are expected in Avellino vs Mantova?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Avellino 1.35 · Mantova 1.12), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Avellino vs Mantova?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.