Football · Mexico Liga MX · 21/11, 04:00
Prediction: Tijuana vs Atlante
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Tijuana1.93
Atlante0.97
1X2
Tijuana
Draw
Atlante
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Tijuana
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Atlante
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tijuana
1–3–0
Atlante
(4 last)
- Atlante0-1Tijuana
- Tijuana1-1Atlante
- Tijuana0-0Atlante
- Atlante1-1Tijuana
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tijuana 1495 · Atlante 1447
| Tijuana | Draw | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 24% | 17% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tijuana (rating 1495 vs 1447).
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tijuana | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.4 | 2.2 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tijuana 1–3–0 Atlante
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/19 Mexico Cup | Atlante | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tijuana |
| 16/01/19 Mexico Cup | Tijuana | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Atlante |
| 30/08/17 Mexico Cup | Tijuana | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atlante |
| 09/08/17 Mexico Cup | Atlante | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Tijuana |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 26 | 32 |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 23 | 30 |
| 3 | Chivas Guadalajara | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 30 |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 21 | 27 |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 30 | 27 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 20 | 25 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 24 |
| 8 | Leon | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 23 |
| 9 | Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 20 | 22 |
| 10 | Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 22 |
| 11 | Unam Pumas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 21 |
| 12 | Queretaro | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 20 |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 19 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 19 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | 13 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 34 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tijuana | Atlante |
|---|---|---|
| Monterrey | 3-3 D | 4-2 W |
| Santos Laguna | 4-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Puebla | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Juarez FC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Atlas | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Pachuca | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Queretaro | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tijuana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Necaxa Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/11 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 29/10 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 26/10 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/10 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 17/10 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 26/09 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/09 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 5 | L |
Atlante
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/11 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 24/10 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 21/10 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 12/09 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tijuana vs Atlante?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tijuana win (59%). Probabilities: Tijuana 59%, draw 23%, Atlante 18%.
How many goals are expected in Tijuana vs Atlante?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Tijuana 1.93 · Atlante 0.97), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tijuana vs Atlante?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.