Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 21/11, 16:30

Prediction: FC Eindhoven vs RKC

Team pages: FC Eindhoven · RKC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

FC Eindhoven1.24

RKC1.93

1X2

23% 24% 52%

FC Eindhoven Draw RKC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Eindhoven 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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RKC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Eindhoven 3–3 RKC (6 last)

RKC2-1FC Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven1-0RKC
RKC3-1FC Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven1-3RKC
FC Eindhoven3-1RKC
RKC0-1FC Eindhoven

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Eindhoven 1460 · RKC 1514

	FC Eindhoven	Draw	RKC
Our model	23%	24%	52%
Market	24%	24%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RKC (rating 1460 vs 1514).
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Eindhoven	RKC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.1	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.4	2.7 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.80

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.02

Under 3.251.77

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 3.94
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 4.04 ★
2	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.77

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1% Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:21 +25’	3.90	3.80	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:25 +4’	3.94	4.04	1.77

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Eindhoven 3–0–3 RKC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/02/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	RKC	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Eindhoven
22/08/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Eindhoven	1-0 HT 0-0	RKC
03/05/19 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	RKC	3-1 HT 3-1	FC Eindhoven
14/12/18 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Eindhoven	1-3 HT 1-1	RKC
02/02/18 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Eindhoven	3-1 HT 3-1	RKC
15/09/17 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	RKC	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Eindhoven

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	15	12	2	1	46	16	38
2	Almere City FC	15	10	1	4	36	15	31
3	VVV	15	9	2	4	38	24	29
4	NAC	15	8	4	3	29	22	28
5	Roda JC	15	8	4	3	21	18	28
6	FC Emmen	15	8	1	6	28	30	25
7	FC Volendam	15	7	1	7	34	27	22
8	Maastricht	14	6	2	6	19	29	20
9	RKC	15	4	8	3	27	20	20
10	FC Den Bosch	15	5	4	6	24	26	19
11	Vitesse	13	5	3	5	17	18	18
12	AZ Reserves	14	5	2	7	33	31	17
13	PSV Reserves	14	4	5	5	18	22	17
14	Top Oss	15	5	2	8	22	24	17
15	Ajax Reserves	14	4	4	6	22	30	16
16	De Graafschap	14	4	3	7	18	29	15
17	FC Eindhoven	15	4	2	9	20	32	14
18	Helmond Sport	15	3	3	9	26	37	12
19	FC Dordrecht	15	3	3	9	19	36	12
20	FC Utrecht Reserves	14	3	2	9	23	34	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Eindhoven	RKC
Ajax Reserves	0-3 L	2-0 W
Almere City FC	0-3 L	1-2 L
De Graafschap	2-2 D	1-1 D
FC Emmen	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RKC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Eindhoven

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-1	2	7	W
06/11	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
30/10	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	2-3	2	9	L
23/10	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	7	5	L
16/10	Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
09/10	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
03/10	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-2	8	6	D
26/09	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	2-4	2	3	L
18/09	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
11/09	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	2-1	1	5	W

RKC

WWLDLDDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	4-0	8	2	W
06/11	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
30/10	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
23/10	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-1	8	1	D
18/10	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-1	14	3	D
09/10	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-3	5	4	L
03/10	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
26/09	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
18/09	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-0	6-1	6	2	W
11/09	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	2-0	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Eindhoven vs RKC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an RKC win (52%). Probabilities: FC Eindhoven 23%, draw 24%, RKC 52%.

How many goals are expected in FC Eindhoven vs RKC?

The model expects 3.17 goals (FC Eindhoven 1.24 · RKC 1.93), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Eindhoven vs RKC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.