Football · France Ligue 3 · 21/11, 14:45

Prediction: La Roche VF vs Concarneau

Team pages: La Roche VF · Concarneau

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
La Roche VF1.21
Concarneau1.11
1X2
38% 29% 33%
La Roche VF Draw Concarneau
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
La Roche VF 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DWDDWWWLWW
Concarneau 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WDDWWDWDLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · La Roche VF 1572 · Concarneau 1562
La Roche VFDrawConcarneau
Our model37%31%32%
Market38%28%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

La Roche VFConcarneau
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.81.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 5.91.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.64.9 / 0.1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLa Roche VFConcarneau
Paris 13 Atletico 1-0 W 2-1 W
Bourg-Peronnas 2-0 W 1-1 D
Caen 1-2 L 2-0 W
Aubagne Air Bel 3-1 W 2-1 W
Thionville FC 2-1 W 2-2 D
Valenciennes 3-2 W 0-0 D
Villefranche 0-0 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 1 L 4 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: La Roche VF (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

La Roche VF

DWDDWWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-0 62 W
31/10 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-0 104 W
15/10 Caen
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-2 43 L
03/10 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
0-1 3-1 38 W
26/09 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-1 68 W
19/09 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
1-1 3-2 65 W
12/09 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 611 D
05/09 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-1 102 D
29/08 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-0 25 W
20/08 Cannes
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 –– D

Concarneau

WDDWWDWDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 FC Fleury 91
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-0 29 W
31/10 Rouen
France Ligue 3
1-2 1-2 16 L
17/10 SC Bastia
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-1 –– D
03/10 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-1 57 W
26/09 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 56 D
19/09 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-0 43 W
12/09 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
0-0 2-1 81 W
05/09 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
2-0 2-2 25 D
29/08 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 53 D
20/08 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-0 75 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in La Roche VF vs Concarneau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a La Roche VF win (38%). Probabilities: La Roche VF 38%, draw 29%, Concarneau 33%.

How many goals are expected in La Roche VF vs Concarneau?

The model expects 2.32 goals (La Roche VF 1.21 · Concarneau 1.11), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in La Roche VF vs Concarneau?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.