Football · Russia Division 1 · 21/11, 15:00

Prediction: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

Team pages: Shinnik Yaroslavl · Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.11Total

Shinnik Yaroslavl1.59

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk0.51

1X2

63% 26% 11%

Shinnik Yaroslavl Draw Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

1-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Shinnik Yaroslavl 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLDWDWLW

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLLDLL

Head-to-head

Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–3–2 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk (6 last)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk0-2Shinnik Yaroslavl
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk0-0Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl1-1Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Shinnik Yaroslavl0-2Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Shinnik Yaroslavl1-1Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk1-0Shinnik Yaroslavl

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shinnik Yaroslavl (rating 1529 vs 1422).
H2H favours Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk: 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shinnik Yaroslavl	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.9	0.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 6	– / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0	5.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.83

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 1.95
X	3.24 → 3.24	Pinn 3.24
2	4.13 → 4.13	Pinn 4.13

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:12 +6’	1.95	3.24	4.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–3–2 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/08/26 Russia Division 1	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0-2 HT 0-2	Shinnik Yaroslavl
28/03/26 Russia Division 1	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0-0 HT 0-0	Shinnik Yaroslavl
15/10/25 Russia Cup	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-1 HT 1-0	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
10/08/25 Russia Division 1	Shinnik Yaroslavl	0-2 HT 0-1	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
29/03/25 Russia Division 1	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-1 HT 0-0	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
12/10/24 Russia Division 1	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1-0 HT 0-0	Shinnik Yaroslavl

Standings · Russia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	17	15	1	1	52	15	46
2	Torpedo Moscow	18	10	5	3	30	13	35
3	Ural	17	10	4	3	29	11	34
4	PFC Sochi	17	10	2	5	26	20	32
5	Veles	19	9	4	6	25	25	31
6	FK Spartak Kostroma	17	8	4	5	22	20	28
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	17	6	8	3	22	18	26
8	FK Chelyabinsk	18	7	3	8	27	29	24
9	FC Ufa	17	5	7	5	19	17	22
10	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	19	6	4	9	22	26	22
11	Rotor Volgograd	17	5	6	6	24	19	21
12	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	18	5	4	9	24	28	19
13	Arsenal Tula	17	5	4	8	20	35	19
14	FK Leningradets	18	4	6	8	16	28	18
15	FK Yenisey	17	4	5	8	19	33	17
16	Kamaz Nab Chelny	17	3	5	9	21	30	14
17	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	17	4	1	12	11	25	13
18	Tekstilshik Ivanovo	17	2	5	10	12	29	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shinnik Yaroslavl	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
FC Ufa	2-1 W	0-1 L
FK Chelyabinsk	0-2 L	2-4 L
FK Spartak Kostroma	2-1 W	0-1 L
SKA Energia Khabarovsk	0-0 D	0-2 L
Kamaz Nab Chelny	0-1 L	1-2 L
Rotor Volgograd	2-2 D	1-0 W
FK Yenisey	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Shinnik Yaroslavl (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shinnik Yaroslavl

WDDLDWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	0-0	2-1	8	4	W
01/11	FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
26/10	FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1	2-1	2-1	5	8	W
18/10	Veles Russia Division 1	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
10/10	Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1	2-0	2-0	7	3	W
27/09	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
18/09	Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1	0-0	0-1	10	6	L
05/09	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	1-1	2-2	6	10	D
30/08	FK Yenisey Russia Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
22/08	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	2-0	3-1	–	–	W

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

WLWLLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
31/10	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
25/10	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
17/10	Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1	1-0	1-2	7	13	L
09/10	FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1	0-2	2-4	6	3	L
18/09	Ural Russia Division 1	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
14/09	FK Spartak Kostroma Russia Division 1	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
05/09	FK Yenisey Russia Division 1	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
28/08	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
24/08	Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	5	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shinnik Yaroslavl win (63%). Probabilities: Shinnik Yaroslavl 63%, draw 26%, Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 11%.

How many goals are expected in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk?

The model expects 2.11 goals (Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.59 · Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 0.51), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.