Prediction: Sassuolo vs Genoa
- Genoa2-1Sassuolo
- Sassuolo1-2Genoa
- Genoa2-1Sassuolo
- Sassuolo1-2Genoa
- Sassuolo1-1Genoa
- Genoa2-2Sassuolo
| Sassuolo | Draw | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 28% | 38% |
| Market | 33% | 30% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Genoa (rating 1437 vs 1497).
- H2H favours Genoa: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sassuolo | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.7 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.8 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sassuolo 0–2–4 Genoa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Sassuolo |
| 03/11/25 Italy Serie A | Sassuolo | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Genoa |
| 12/05/24 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sassuolo |
| 22/12/23 Italy Serie A | Sassuolo | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Genoa |
| 06/01/22 Italy Serie A | Sassuolo | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Genoa |
| 17/10/21 Italy Serie A | Genoa | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Sassuolo |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 28 |
| 3 | Roma | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Como | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 16 |
| 10 | Napoli | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 13 |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sassuolo | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| Roma | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Fiorentina | 2-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Lazio | 2-6 L | 0-1 L |
| Como | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Frosinone | 2-4 L | 1-1 D |
| AC Milan | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Juventus | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Genoa (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sassuolo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 02/11 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 27/10 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
2-4 | 2-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Como Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 16/10 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 18/09 | Monza Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Genoa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/11 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/10 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/10 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/10 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 20/09 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 04/09 | Como Italy Serie A |
1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sassuolo vs Genoa?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Genoa win (38%). Probabilities: Sassuolo 34%, draw 29%, Genoa 38%.
How many goals are expected in Sassuolo vs Genoa?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Sassuolo 1.36 · Genoa 1.45), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Genoa?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.