Football · Italy Serie A · 22/11, 12:30

Prediction: Juventus vs Venezia

Team pages: Juventus · Venezia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Juventus2.1
Venezia0.73
1X2
69% 20% 11%
Juventus Draw Venezia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Juventus 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDLWDLWLWD
Venezia 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
LLLLLWLLLW
Head-to-head
Juventus 2–2–0 Venezia (4 last)
  • Venezia2-3Juventus
  • Juventus2-2Venezia
  • Juventus2-1Venezia
  • Venezia1-1Juventus
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juventus 1548 · Venezia 1442
JuventusDrawVenezia
Our model68%21%11%
Market69%19%12%
Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juventus (rating 1548 vs 1442).
  • H2H favours Juventus: 2-2-0.
  • High corners: 12 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JuventusVenezia
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.20.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)4.3 / 8.21.4 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.23.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventus 2–2–0 Venezia

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/05/25
Italy Serie A
Venezia2-3
HT 1-2
Juventus
14/12/24
Italy Serie A
Juventus2-2
HT 1-0
Venezia
01/05/22
Italy Serie A
Juventus2-1
HT 1-0
Venezia
11/12/21
Italy Serie A
Venezia1-1
HT 0-1
Juventus

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lazio 11920 25929
2 Inter Milan 11911 281328
3 Roma 11830 311027
4 AC Milan 11731 231324
5 Como 11722 181023
6 Frosinone 11623 241520
7 Juventus 11533 151218
8 Bologna 11524 161417
9 Cagliari 11515 101516
10 Napoli 11434 181415
11 Torino 11425 151714
12 Atalanta 11425 172014
13 Genoa 11416 111613
14 Lecce 11317 122210
15 Fiorentina 11236 17259
16 Parma 11227 9178
17 Sassuolo 11227 16298
18 Monza 11218 17257
19 Venezia 11209 8216
20 Udinese 11128 12255

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJuventusVenezia
Fiorentina 2-2 D 2-4 L
Napoli 2-0 W 1-0 W
Genoa 0-2 L 0-1 L
Lazio 0-3 L 0-2 L
Atalanta 2-0 W 1-3 L
AC Milan 1-1 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Juventus (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juventus

WDLWDLWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
1-1 2-2 124 D
01/11 Napoli
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 136 W
28/10 Genoa
Italy Serie A
0-2 0-2 91 L
25/10 Lecce
Italy Serie A
2-0 2-0 32 W
18/10 Lazio
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-3 52 L
11/10 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-1 93 D
20/09 Atalanta
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 43 W
13/09 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-3 104 L
06/09 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-1 74 D
29/08 Parma
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-0 105 W

Venezia

LLLLLWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/11 Udinese
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-1 32 W
01/11 Como
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 13 L
28/10 Inter Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-2 32 L
25/10 Genoa
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 101 L
17/10 Napoli
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 02 W
12/10 Atalanta
Italy Serie A
1-3 1-3 73 L
19/09 Lazio
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-2 76 L
11/09 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
1-2 2-4 23 L
06/09 Frosinone
Italy Serie A
0-2 2-3 26 L
28/08 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-2 34 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juventus vs Venezia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Juventus win (69%). Probabilities: Juventus 69%, draw 20%, Venezia 11%.

How many goals are expected in Juventus vs Venezia?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Juventus 2.1 · Venezia 0.73), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Juventus vs Venezia?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.