Prediction: Raith vs Partick
- Partick0-0Raith
- Raith0-2Partick
- Partick0-0Raith
- Raith2-0Partick
- Partick3-2Raith
- Partick0-0Raith
| Raith | Draw | Partick | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 32% | 39% |
| Market | 30% | 28% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Partick (rating 1501 vs 1584).
- H2H favours Partick: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Raith | Partick | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.8 | 4.1 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Raith 1–3–2 Partick
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 Scotland Championship | Partick | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Raith |
| 24/03/26 Scotland Championship | Raith | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Partick |
| 20/12/25 Scotland Championship | Partick | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Raith |
| 25/10/25 Scotland Championship | Raith | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Partick |
| 30/08/25 Scotland Championship | Partick | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Raith |
| 21/03/25 Scotland Championship | Partick | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Raith |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 31 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 26 |
| 3 | Raith | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Livingston | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| 7 | Ayr | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 18 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 14 |
| 9 | Morton | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 25 | 13 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Raith | Partick |
|---|---|---|
| Ayr | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Dunfermline | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Arbroath | 4-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Inverness CT | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Stenhousemuir | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Queen's Park | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Morton | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Livingston | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 6 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Partick (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raith
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/11 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 31/10 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 24/10 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 03/10 | Morton Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/09 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Partick
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 07/11 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 31/10 | Morton Scotland Championship |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/10 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/10 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 15/09 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raith vs Partick?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Partick win (40%). Probabilities: Raith 29%, draw 30%, Partick 40%.
How many goals are expected in Raith vs Partick?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Raith 0.95 · Partick 1.17), with a 58% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Raith vs Partick?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.