Football · Italy Serie B · 21/11, 15:00

Prediction: Ascoli vs Vicenza

Team pages: Ascoli · Vicenza

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Ascoli1.69
Vicenza1.08
1X2
50% 27% 23%
Ascoli Draw Vicenza
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Ascoli 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DWLWDDWWDD
Vicenza 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LDDLLDWLLL
Head-to-head
Ascoli 3–1–2 Vicenza (6 last)
  • Vicenza2-0Ascoli
  • Ascoli2-1Vicenza
  • Ascoli2-1Vicenza
  • Vicenza2-1Ascoli
  • Vicenza1-1Ascoli
  • Ascoli2-0Vicenza
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ascoli 1538 · Vicenza 1441
AscoliDrawVicenza
Our model51%26%23%
Market50%27%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ascoli (rating 1538 vs 1441).
  • H2H favours Ascoli: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AscoliVicenza
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.61.1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.30.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 6.82.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.14.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ascoli 3–1–2 Vicenza

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/03/22
Italy Serie B
Vicenza2-0
HT 0-0
Ascoli
06/11/21
Italy Serie B
Ascoli2-1
HT 2-0
Vicenza
05/04/21
Italy Serie B
Ascoli2-1
HT 0-0
Vicenza
19/12/20
Italy Serie B
Vicenza2-1
HT 1-0
Ascoli
18/02/17
Italy Serie B
Vicenza1-1
HT 0-1
Ascoli
20/09/16
Italy Serie B
Ascoli2-0
HT 1-0
Vicenza

Standings · Italy Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Palermo 11830 251327
2 Modena 11722 201023
3 Ascoli 11551 17720
4 Mantova 11542 151119
5 Verona 11443 191316
6 Avellino 11443 161116
7 Benevento 11443 151116
8 Pisa 11443 201716
9 Cremonese 11434 141215
10 Sudtirol 11362 131215
11 Padova 11434 121315
12 Cesena 11362 121415
13 Juve Stabia 11443 121112
14 Sampdoria 11326 111811
15 Arezzo 11326 92011
16 Virtus Entella 11245 111410
17 Carrarese 11317 91410
18 Empoli 11236 12199
19 Vicenza 11236 14249
20 Catanzaro 11137 11236

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAscoliVicenza
Palermo 1-1 D 1-3 L
Empoli 1-1 D 2-0 W
Avellino 3-1 W 0-3 L
Benevento 1-0 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ascoli (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ascoli

DWLWDDWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/11 Palermo
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-1 51 D
01/11 Arezzo
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-0 34 D
27/10 Sampdoria
Italy Serie B
0-0 2-0 93 W
24/10 Catanzaro
Italy Serie B
4-1 6-1 93 W
17/10 Empoli
Italy Serie B
1-1 1-1 62 D
10/10 Sudtirol
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-0 55 D
19/09 Avellino
Italy Serie B
0-1 3-1 54 W
12/09 Padova
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-1 86 L
05/09 Benevento
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-0 87 W
29/08 Carrarese
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 107 D

Vicenza

LDDLLDWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Cremonese
Italy Serie B
1-1 1-4 43 L
01/11 Palermo
Italy Serie B
1-1 1-3 43 L
27/10 Modena
Italy Serie B
1-1 1-2 56 L
23/10 Empoli
Italy Serie B
1-0 2-0 44 W
17/10 Benevento
Italy Serie B
0-2 2-2 47 D
10/10 Pisa
Italy Serie B
0-1 0-3 62 L
20/09 Verona
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-2 56 L
12/09 Juve Stabia
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 82 D
06/09 Virtus Entella
Italy Serie B
1-1 2-2 45 D
29/08 Avellino
Italy Serie B
0-2 0-3 77 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ascoli vs Vicenza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ascoli win (50%). Probabilities: Ascoli 50%, draw 27%, Vicenza 23%.

How many goals are expected in Ascoli vs Vicenza?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Ascoli 1.69 · Vicenza 1.08), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ascoli vs Vicenza?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.