Football · Germany 3. Liga · 21/11, 16:30

Prediction: Alemannia Aachen vs Waldhof Mannheim

Team pages: Alemannia Aachen · Waldhof Mannheim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Alemannia Aachen1.65

Waldhof Mannheim1.31

1X2

45% 26% 30%

Alemannia Aachen Draw Waldhof Mannheim

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Alemannia Aachen 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLWWWL

Waldhof Mannheim 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLWLW

Head-to-head

Alemannia Aachen 1–1–2 Waldhof Mannheim (4 last)

Waldhof Mannheim2-1Alemannia Aachen
Alemannia Aachen3-2Waldhof Mannheim
Waldhof Mannheim2-1Alemannia Aachen
Alemannia Aachen0-0Waldhof Mannheim

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alemannia Aachen 1506 · Waldhof Mannheim 1504

	Alemannia Aachen	Draw	Waldhof Mannheim
Our model	44%	26%	29%
Market	45%	25%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Waldhof Mannheim: 2-1-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Alemannia Aachen	Waldhof Mannheim
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/0/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6.2	2.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.6	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.60

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.06
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.81
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.18 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
23:42 +47’	2.00	3.60	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:25 +4’	2.06	3.81	3.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alemannia Aachen 1–1–2 Waldhof Mannheim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Germany 3. Liga	Waldhof Mannheim	2-1 HT 0-1	Alemannia Aachen
20/09/25 Germany 3. Liga	Alemannia Aachen	3-2 HT 1-0	Waldhof Mannheim
02/03/25 Germany 3. Liga	Waldhof Mannheim	2-1 HT 1-0	Alemannia Aachen
25/09/24 Germany 3. Liga	Alemannia Aachen	0-0 HT 0-0	Waldhof Mannheim

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Viktoria Köln	13	9	2	2	36	18	29
2	MSV Duisburg	13	9	2	2	33	18	29
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	13	8	3	2	21	13	27
4	Wehen SV	13	6	3	4	26	17	21
5	FC Ingolstadt	13	6	3	4	19	19	21
6	Saarbrucken	13	6	2	5	31	26	20
7	Alemannia Aachen	13	6	2	5	19	19	20
8	Waldhof Mannheim	13	6	1	6	23	20	19
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	13	6	1	6	22	20	19
10	Hansa Rostock	13	5	4	4	22	22	19
11	SV Meppen	13	5	3	5	18	18	18
12	VfB Stuttgart II	13	5	3	5	22	23	18
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	4	4	5	14	17	16
14	SC Preussen Munster	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
15	Wurzburger Kickers	13	4	2	7	17	25	14
16	Jahn Regensburg	13	3	4	6	23	23	13
17	Verl	13	3	3	7	17	27	12
18	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	13	3	3	7	13	29	12
19	SC Fortuna Köln	13	2	4	7	10	16	10
20	TSV Havelse	13	2	4	7	17	29	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Alemannia Aachen	Waldhof Mannheim
Rot-Weiss Essen	0-1 L	1-2 L
SC Preussen Munster	2-1 W	2-0 W
Wehen SV	0-3 L	1-0 W
Wurzburger Kickers	0-1 L	0-2 L
FC Ingolstadt	3-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alemannia Aachen

WDLWLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
01/11	SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	5	5	W
24/10	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	11	6	W
17/10	Hansa Rostock Germany 3. Liga	2-0	2-0	2	8	W
14/10	Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
11/10	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	1-4	2-5	8	3	L
19/09	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
15/09	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
12/09	Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	4	8	D
04/09	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	3-0	3-0	7	4	W

Waldhof Mannheim

LWLWWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	7	3	W
01/11	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
25/10	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Germany 3. Liga	0-1	4-1	5	7	W
17/10	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	9	6	L
14/10	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	0-0	0-3	3	4	L
10/10	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	2-1	5-1	5	4	W
20/09	SC Preussen Munster Germany 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
16/09	Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
13/09	Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
05/09	Verl Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alemannia Aachen vs Waldhof Mannheim?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alemannia Aachen win (45%). Probabilities: Alemannia Aachen 45%, draw 26%, Waldhof Mannheim 30%.

How many goals are expected in Alemannia Aachen vs Waldhof Mannheim?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Alemannia Aachen 1.65 · Waldhof Mannheim 1.31), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Alemannia Aachen vs Waldhof Mannheim?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.