Prediction: Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC
Team pages: Brisbane Roar · Sydney FC
- Brisbane Roar2-4Sydney FC
- Brisbane Roar0-0Sydney FC
- Sydney FC1-0Brisbane Roar
- Sydney FC3-4Brisbane Roar
- Brisbane Roar2-3Sydney FC
- Sydney FC1-1Brisbane Roar
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 29% | 35% |
| Market | 37% | 28% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Sydney FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brisbane Roar | Sydney FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.6 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brisbane Roar 1–2–3 Sydney FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 Australia Cup | Brisbane Roar | 2-4 HT 1-3 | Sydney FC |
| 02/04/26 Australia A-League | Brisbane Roar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sydney FC |
| 21/02/26 Australia A-League | Sydney FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Brisbane Roar |
| 18/01/25 Australia A-League | Sydney FC | 3-4 HT 1-3 | Brisbane Roar |
| 01/11/24 Australia A-League | Brisbane Roar | 2-3 HT 0-0 | Sydney FC |
| 10/03/24 Australia A-League | Sydney FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Brisbane Roar |
Standings · Australia A-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Brisbane Roar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Melbourne City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Perth Glory | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Auckland FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | Newcastle Jets | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 11 | Central Coast Mariners | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| 12 | Adelaide United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brisbane Roar | Sydney FC |
|---|---|---|
| Auckland FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Perth Glory | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Melbourne City | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Central Coast Mariners | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Brisbane Roar (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brisbane Roar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Macarthur FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/10 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 23/10 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/04 | Central Coast Mariners Australia A-League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 02/04 | Sydney FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | Wellington Phoenix Australia A-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/03 | Western Sydney Wanderers Australia A-League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 28/02 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
Sydney FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Central Coast Mariners Australia A-League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/10 | Melbourne City Australia A-League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | Adelaide United Australia A-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/10 | Western Sydney Wanderers Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 23/05 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 09/05 | Newcastle Jets Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Melbourne Victory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Auckland FC Australia A-League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Perth Glory Australia A-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brisbane Roar win (37%). Probabilities: Brisbane Roar 37%, draw 28%, Sydney FC 35%.
How many goals are expected in Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Brisbane Roar 1.34 · Sydney FC 1.32), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

