Football · Australia A-League · 21/11, 09:40

Prediction: Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC

Team pages: Brisbane Roar · Sydney FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Brisbane Roar1.34
Sydney FC1.32
1X2
37% 28% 35%
Brisbane Roar Draw Sydney FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Brisbane Roar 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DDLDDLLWDW
Sydney FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DDWDDLDWLW
Head-to-head
Brisbane Roar 1–2–3 Sydney FC (6 last)
  • Brisbane Roar2-4Sydney FC
  • Brisbane Roar0-0Sydney FC
  • Sydney FC1-0Brisbane Roar
  • Sydney FC3-4Brisbane Roar
  • Brisbane Roar2-3Sydney FC
  • Sydney FC1-1Brisbane Roar
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brisbane Roar 1524 · Sydney FC 1557
Brisbane RoarDrawSydney FC
Our model36%29%35%
Market37%28%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Sydney FC: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Brisbane RoarSydney FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.51.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.60.3 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.62 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 04.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brisbane Roar 1–2–3 Sydney FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/08/26
Australia Cup
Brisbane Roar2-4
HT 1-3
Sydney FC
02/04/26
Australia A-League
Brisbane Roar0-0
HT 0-0
Sydney FC
21/02/26
Australia A-League
Sydney FC1-0
HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar
18/01/25
Australia A-League
Sydney FC3-4
HT 1-3
Brisbane Roar
01/11/24
Australia A-League
Brisbane Roar2-3
HT 0-0
Sydney FC
10/03/24
Australia A-League
Sydney FC1-1
HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar

Standings · Australia A-League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Wellington Phoenix 4310 7110
2 Sydney FC 4211 747
3 Brisbane Roar 3210 537
4 Melbourne City 4211 667
5 Perth Glory 4202 856
6 Western Sydney Wanderers 4121 645
7 Macarthur FC 4121 445
8 Auckland FC 4121 675
9 Melbourne Victory 4031 563
10 Newcastle Jets 4022 482
11 Central Coast Mariners 4022 492
12 Adelaide United 3012 381

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBrisbane RoarSydney FC
Auckland FC 1-1 D 0-1 L
Perth Glory 2-1 W 0-0 D
Melbourne City 2-3 L 1-2 L
Central Coast Mariners 2-2 D 4-1 W
Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Brisbane Roar (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brisbane Roar

DDLDDLLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Macarthur FC
Australia A-League
0-0 2-1 34 W
30/10 Auckland FC
Australia A-League
0-1 1-1 123 D
23/10 Perth Glory
Australia A-League
2-0 2-1 55 W
25/04 Perth Glory
Australia A-League
0-1 1-2 67 L
18/04 Melbourne City
Australia A-League
1-0 2-3 32 L
10/04 Central Coast Mariners
Australia A-League
1-0 2-2 105 D
02/04 Sydney FC
Australia A-League
0-0 0-0 44 D
21/03 Wellington Phoenix
Australia A-League
1-1 1-2 66 L
13/03 Western Sydney Wanderers
Australia A-League
1-2 2-2 05 D
28/02 Perth Glory
Australia A-League
1-1 1-1 74 D

Sydney FC

DDWDDLDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/11 Central Coast Mariners
Australia A-League
2-0 4-1 42 W
31/10 Melbourne City
Australia A-League
1-0 1-2 32 L
25/10 Adelaide United
Australia A-League
0-1 2-1 64 W
16/10 Western Sydney Wanderers
Australia A-League
0-0 0-0 29 D
23/05 Auckland FC
Australia A-League
0-0 0-1 26 L
16/05 Newcastle Jets
Australia A-League
0-0 1-1 510 D
09/05 Newcastle Jets
Australia A-League
0-0 1-1 52 D
02/05 Melbourne Victory
Australia A-League
0-0 1-0 64 W
26/04 Auckland FC
Australia A-League
0-0 2-2 42 D
18/04 Perth Glory
Australia A-League
0-0 0-0 43 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brisbane Roar win (37%). Probabilities: Brisbane Roar 37%, draw 28%, Sydney FC 35%.

How many goals are expected in Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Brisbane Roar 1.34 · Sydney FC 1.32), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.