Football · England Championship · 21/11, 16:00
Prediction: Wolverhampton vs Charlton
Team pages: Wolverhampton · Charlton
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Wolverhampton1.96
Charlton0.61
1X2
Wolverhampton
Draw
Charlton
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Wolverhampton
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Charlton
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wolverhampton
2–2–0
Charlton
(4 last)
- Charlton0-2Wolverhampton
- Wolverhampton2-1Charlton
- Wolverhampton0-0Charlton
- Charlton1-1Wolverhampton
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wolverhampton 1540 · Charlton 1442
| Wolverhampton | Draw | Charlton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 22% | 10% |
| Market | 70% | 18% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wolverhampton (rating 1540 vs 1442).
- H2H favours Wolverhampton: 2-2-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wolverhampton | Charlton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7.3 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wolverhampton 2–2–0 Charlton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/15 England Championship | Charlton | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Wolverhampton |
| 29/08/15 England Championship | Wolverhampton | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Charlton |
| 24/01/15 England Championship | Wolverhampton | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Charlton |
| 16/09/14 England Championship | Charlton | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Wolverhampton |
Standings · England Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | 28 |
| 5 | West Brom | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | QPR | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheff Utd | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wolverhampton | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Cardiff | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Watford | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Portsmouth | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Burnley | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Bolton | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Middlesbrough | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Sheff Utd | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Wolverhampton (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wolverhampton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Wrexham England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 04/11 | Bristol City England Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/10 | Cardiff England Championship |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 24/10 | Watford England Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 7 | W |
| 20/10 | Portsmouth England Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 16/10 | Burnley England Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/10 | Bolton England Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | West Brom England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
Charlton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 03/11 | Bolton England Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 31/10 | Middlesbrough England Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Norwich England Championship |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/10 | Watford England Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 13/10 | Burnley England Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Bristol City England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Cardiff England Championship |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 12/09 | Portsmouth England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 09/09 | QPR England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wolverhampton vs Charlton?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wolverhampton win (70%). Probabilities: Wolverhampton 70%, draw 20%, Charlton 11%.
How many goals are expected in Wolverhampton vs Charlton?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Wolverhampton 1.96 · Charlton 0.61), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Wolverhampton vs Charlton?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.