Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 21/11, 19:00
Prediction: Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central
Team pages: Defensa y Justicia · Barracas Central
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Defensa y Justicia1.22
Barracas Central0.86
1X2
Defensa y Justicia
Draw
Barracas Central
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Defensa y Justicia
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Barracas Central
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensa y Justicia
2–2–1
Barracas Central
(5 last)
- Barracas Central1-1Defensa y Justicia
- Defensa y Justicia1-1Barracas Central
- Defensa y Justicia1-0Barracas Central
- Barracas Central0-2Defensa y Justicia
- Barracas Central3-1Defensa y Justicia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Defensa y Justicia 1526 · Barracas Central 1538
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Barracas Central | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 32% | 25% |
| Market | 45% | 29% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Defensa y Justicia: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensa y Justicia | Barracas Central | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 2.3 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensa y Justicia 2–2–1 Barracas Central
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Defensa y Justicia |
| 15/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Barracas Central |
| 31/08/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Barracas Central |
| 24/04/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Defensa y Justicia |
| 18/08/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Defensa y Justicia |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 34 |
| 2 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | Gimnasia LP | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 31 |
| 4 | River Plate | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Barracas Central | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 26 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Independiente Rivadavia | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | 23 |
| 8 | Huracan | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 22 |
| 9 | Sarmiento | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 24 | 21 |
| 10 | CA Tigre | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 19 |
| 11 | Atlético Tucumán | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 15 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 15 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 9 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensa y Justicia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/11 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 24/10 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 03/10 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/09 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
Barracas Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 01/11 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 14 | 3 | D |
| 26/10 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 20/10 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/09 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 15/09 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 08/09 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 01/09 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensa y Justicia win (44%). Probabilities: Defensa y Justicia 44%, draw 31%, Barracas Central 25%.
How many goals are expected in Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Defensa y Justicia 1.22 · Barracas Central 0.86), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensa y Justicia vs Barracas Central?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.