Football · Germany 3. Liga · 21/11, 14:00

Prediction: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II vs SC Preussen Munster

Team pages: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II · SC Preussen Munster

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II1.83

SC Preussen Munster1.43

1X2

46% 25% 29%

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II Draw SC Preussen Munster

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDWWLLWLLW

SC Preussen Munster 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWDLDLLWLL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 1490 · SC Preussen Munster 1470

	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	Draw	SC Preussen Munster
Our model	46%	25%	29%
Market	46%	25%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	SC Preussen Munster
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.6	1.5 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.60

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 1.99
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.85
2	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.34 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:19 +1’	1.95	3.60	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:12 +7’	1.99	3.85	3.34

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · Germany 3. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Viktoria Köln	13	9	2	2	36	18	29
2	MSV Duisburg	13	9	2	2	33	18	29
3	Rot-Weiss Essen	13	8	3	2	21	13	27
4	Wehen SV	13	6	3	4	26	17	21
5	FC Ingolstadt	13	6	3	4	19	19	21
6	Saarbrucken	13	6	2	5	31	26	20
7	Alemannia Aachen	13	6	2	5	19	19	20
8	Waldhof Mannheim	13	6	1	6	23	20	19
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	13	6	1	6	22	20	19
10	Hansa Rostock	13	5	4	4	22	22	19
11	SV Meppen	13	5	3	5	18	18	18
12	VfB Stuttgart II	13	5	3	5	22	23	18
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	4	4	5	14	17	16
14	SC Preussen Munster	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
15	Wurzburger Kickers	13	4	2	7	17	25	14
16	Jahn Regensburg	13	3	4	6	23	23	13
17	Verl	13	3	3	7	17	27	12
18	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	13	3	3	7	13	29	12
19	SC Fortuna Köln	13	2	4	7	10	16	10
20	TSV Havelse	13	2	4	7	17	29	10

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II	SC Preussen Munster
Waldhof Mannheim	1-4 L	0-2 L
VfB Stuttgart II	2-3 L	2-1 W
MSV Duisburg	2-3 L	1-2 L
SC Fortuna Köln	2-2 D	1-0 W
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	0-1 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SC Preussen Munster (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II

LDWWLLWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Wurzburger Kickers Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
31/10	FC Viktoria Köln Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
25/10	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-4	6	7	L
18/10	Verl Germany 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	4	4	W
13/10	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	5	7	L
10/10	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	2-0	2-3	4	9	L
19/09	SV Meppen Germany 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
16/09	FC Ingolstadt Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	9	2	W
13/09	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	2-1	2-2	6	2	D
06/09	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	9	8	L

SC Preussen Munster

WWDLDLLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	MSV Duisburg Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	2	6	L
01/11	Alemannia Aachen Germany 3. Liga	0-2	1-2	6	5	L
25/10	SC Fortuna Köln Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
17/10	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3. Liga	2-0	2-3	4	4	L
14/10	Fortuna Dusseldorf Germany 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	1	8	L
09/10	Rot-Weiss Essen Germany 3. Liga	2-0	3-3	7	5	D
20/09	Waldhof Mannheim Germany 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
16/09	Saarbrucken Germany 3. Liga	1-3	3-3	2	1	D
13/09	VfB Stuttgart II Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
05/09	TSV Havelse Germany 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II vs SC Preussen Munster?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II win (46%). Probabilities: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 46%, draw 25%, SC Preussen Munster 29%.

How many goals are expected in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II vs SC Preussen Munster?

The model expects 3.26 goals (TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II 1.83 · SC Preussen Munster 1.43), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II vs SC Preussen Munster?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.