Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 21/11, 21:00
Prediction: Argentinos Jrs vs CA Independiente
Team pages: Argentinos Jrs · CA Independiente
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
Argentinos Jrs1.22
CA Independiente0.85
1X2
Argentinos Jrs
Draw
CA Independiente
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Argentinos Jrs
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
CA Independiente
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Argentinos Jrs
1–4–1
CA Independiente
(6 last)
- CA Independiente0-0Argentinos Jrs
- CA Independiente2-1Argentinos Jrs
- Argentinos Jrs0-0CA Independiente
- Argentinos Jrs2-2CA Independiente
- Argentinos Jrs2-1CA Independiente
- CA Independiente0-0Argentinos Jrs
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Argentinos Jrs 1529 · CA Independiente 1493
| Argentinos Jrs | Draw | CA Independiente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 32% | 24% |
| Market | 44% | 31% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Argentinos Jrs | CA Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.6 | 1.5 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentinos Jrs 1–4–1 CA Independiente
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Argentinos Jrs |
| 02/03/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Argentinos Jrs |
| 08/10/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Independiente |
| 07/05/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 2-2 HT 0-1 | CA Independiente |
| 17/06/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 2-1 HT 1-1 | CA Independiente |
| 19/07/21 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Argentinos Jrs |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 34 |
| 2 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | Gimnasia LP | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 31 |
| 4 | River Plate | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Barracas Central | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 26 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Independiente Rivadavia | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | 23 |
| 8 | Huracan | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 22 |
| 9 | Sarmiento | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 24 | 21 |
| 10 | CA Tigre | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 19 |
| 11 | Atlético Tucumán | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 15 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 15 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 9 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Argentinos Jrs
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 03/11 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 27/10 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 9 | W |
| 17/10 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 05/10 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 08/09 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 6 | W |
CA Independiente
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 02/11 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 25/10 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/10 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 12/10 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 03/10 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Argentinos Jrs vs CA Independiente?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Argentinos Jrs win (44%). Probabilities: Argentinos Jrs 44%, draw 31%, CA Independiente 25%.
How many goals are expected in Argentinos Jrs vs CA Independiente?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Argentinos Jrs 1.22 · CA Independiente 0.85), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Argentinos Jrs vs CA Independiente?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.