Football · England League 1 · 21/11, 16:00

Prediction: Notts County vs Stevenage

Team pages: Notts County · Stevenage

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Notts County1.22
Stevenage1.15
1X2
37% 29% 34%
Notts County Draw Stevenage
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Notts County 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDDLLLLWDW
Stevenage 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DDWWLWLWLD
Head-to-head
Notts County 2–3–1 Stevenage (6 last)
  • Stevenage0-3Notts County
  • Notts County3-3Stevenage
  • Notts County2-0Stevenage
  • Stevenage1-1Notts County
  • Stevenage3-0Notts County
  • Notts County1-1Stevenage
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Notts County 1542 · Stevenage 1556
Notts CountyDrawStevenage
Our model37%30%33%
Market38%28%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Notts County: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Notts CountyStevenage
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.11.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.52 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.23.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Notts County 2–3–1 Stevenage

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/03/19
England League 2
Stevenage0-3
HT 0-3
Notts County
15/09/18
England League 2
Notts County3-3
HT 2-2
Stevenage
24/02/18
England League 2
Notts County2-0
HT 0-0
Stevenage
11/11/17
England League 2
Stevenage1-1
HT 1-0
Notts County
04/03/17
England League 2
Stevenage3-0
HT 1-0
Notts County
13/08/16
England League 2
Notts County1-1
HT 1-1
Stevenage

Standings · England League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Huddersfield 14851 281229
2 Stockport 15924 291529
3 Oxford Utd 13751 221126
4 Luton 14734 272124
5 Sheff Wed 14653 251423
6 Plymouth 15726 212223
7 Reading 15645 261822
8 Bradford 13643 10822
9 Milton Keynes Dons 14563 282221
10 Cambridge Utd 14563 212121
11 Leicester 13544 221919
12 Mansfield 13544 201819
13 Wycombe 13463 212318
14 Leyton Orient 13526 191417
15 Burton Albion 15456 202717
16 Stevenage 12444 171316
17 AFC Wimbledon 14446 102116
18 Notts County 12354 131414
19 Wigan 15429 132314
20 Blackpool 13337 172212
21 Doncaster 13337 142212
22 Peterborough 13247 112310
23 Barnsley 13238 13249
24 Bromley 13238 13339

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNotts CountyStevenage
Bradford 0-1 L 0-2 L
Doncaster 1-1 D 2-2 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Notts County (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Notts County

WDDLLLLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Mansfield
England League 1
1-0 2-0 34 W
24/10 Stockport
England League 1
1-0 1-1 56 D
20/10 Sheff Wed
England League 1
1-0 2-0 45 W
17/10 Wycombe
England League 1
0-1 0-2 33 L
10/10 Oxford Utd
England League 1
0-1 1-2 59 L
19/09 Reading
England League 1
0-0 0-2 13 L
12/09 Bradford
England League 1
0-0 0-1 58 L
05/09 Huddersfield
England League 1
1-1 1-1 63 D
01/09 Doncaster
England League 1
0-1 1-1 65 D
29/08 Burton Albion
England League 1
0-1 2-1 76 W

Stevenage

DDWWLWLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Leicester
England League 1
1-1 2-2 21 D
24/10 Milton Keynes Dons
England League 1
0-0 0-1 75 L
20/10 Plymouth
England League 1
2-0 3-0 52 W
17/10 Bradford
England League 1
0-0 0-2 32 L
10/10 Wigan
England League 1
0-0 1-0 24 W
19/09 Leyton Orient
England League 1
0-0 0-1 64 L
10/09 Luton
England League 1
1-0 2-1 27 W
05/09 Barnsley
England League 1
1-1 5-1 33 W
01/09 Peterborough
England League 1
0-0 0-0 32 D
29/08 Doncaster
England League 1
0-0 2-2 93 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Notts County vs Stevenage?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Notts County win (37%). Probabilities: Notts County 37%, draw 29%, Stevenage 34%.

How many goals are expected in Notts County vs Stevenage?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Notts County 1.22 · Stevenage 1.15), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Notts County vs Stevenage?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.