Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 21/11, 17:00
Prediction: Fatih Karagumruk vs Boluspor
Team pages: Fatih Karagumruk · Boluspor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Fatih Karagumruk1.89
Boluspor0.91
1X2
Fatih Karagumruk
Draw
Boluspor
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Fatih Karagumruk
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Boluspor
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fatih Karagumruk
2–1–1
Boluspor
(4 last)
- Boluspor1-0Fatih Karagumruk
- Fatih Karagumruk2-2Boluspor
- Fatih Karagumruk3-1Boluspor
- Boluspor0-2Fatih Karagumruk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fatih Karagumruk (rating 1501 vs 1408).
- H2H favours Fatih Karagumruk: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fatih Karagumruk | Boluspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.4 | 1.4 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fatih Karagumruk 2–1–1 Boluspor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/25 Türkiye 1 Lig | Boluspor | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 14/12/24 Türkiye 1 Lig | Fatih Karagumruk | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Boluspor |
| 06/07/20 Türkiye 1 Lig | Fatih Karagumruk | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Boluspor |
| 14/12/19 Türkiye 1 Lig | Boluspor | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Fatih Karagumruk |
Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bursaspor | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 12 | 32 |
| 2 | Kayserispor | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 11 | 30 |
| 3 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | Mardin 1969 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 25 |
| 5 | Batman Petrolspor | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 24 | 24 |
| 6 | Keciorengucu | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 18 | 23 |
| 7 | Bodrum FK | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 21 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 21 | 20 |
| 9 | Fatih Karagumruk | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 19 |
| 10 | Esenler Erokspor | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 18 |
| 11 | Muglaspor | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 18 |
| 12 | Umraniyespor | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 17 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 17 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 15 | Bandirmaspor | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 14 |
| 16 | Pendikspor | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 14 |
| 17 | Manisa BBSK | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 24 | 13 |
| 18 | Sivasspor | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 13 |
| 19 | Istanbulspor | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 8 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 28 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fatih Karagumruk | Boluspor |
|---|---|---|
| Bandirmaspor | 4-0 W | 0-6 L |
| Pendikspor | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Sariyer | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Keciorengucu | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Muglaspor | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Fatih Karagumruk (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fatih Karagumruk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 31/10 | Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 24/10 | Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 19/10 | Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 15/10 | Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Batman Petrolspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 02/09 | Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
Boluspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 01/11 | Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 23/10 | Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 18/10 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Antalyaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-5 | 0-6 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fatih Karagumruk vs Boluspor?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fatih Karagumruk win (59%). Probabilities: Fatih Karagumruk 59%, draw 24%, Boluspor 16%.
How many goals are expected in Fatih Karagumruk vs Boluspor?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Fatih Karagumruk 1.89 · Boluspor 0.91), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Fatih Karagumruk vs Boluspor?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.