Football · England Super League Women · 21/11, 13:45
Prediction: Liverpool (W) vs Chelsea (W)
Team pages: Liverpool (W) · Chelsea (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.58Total
Liverpool (W)1.46
Chelsea (W)2.12
1X2
Liverpool (W)
Draw
Chelsea (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Liverpool (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Chelsea (W)
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Liverpool (W)
0–1–5
Chelsea (W)
(6 last)
- Chelsea (W)2-0Liverpool (W)
- Liverpool (W)1-9Chelsea (W)
- Liverpool (W)1-1Chelsea (W)
- Chelsea (W)1-0Liverpool (W)
- Chelsea (W)2-1Liverpool (W)
- Liverpool (W)0-3Chelsea (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chelsea (W) (rating 1481 vs 1634).
- H2H favours Chelsea (W): 5-1-0.
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Liverpool (W) | Chelsea (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 2.8 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/0/60% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5 | 4.2 / 8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Liverpool (W) 0–1–5 Chelsea (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 England Super League Women | Chelsea (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Liverpool (W) |
| 21/12/25 England League Cup Women | Liverpool (W) | 1-9 HT 0-4 | Chelsea (W) |
| 16/11/25 England Super League Women | Liverpool (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Chelsea (W) |
| 10/05/25 England Super League Women | Chelsea (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Liverpool (W) |
| 12/04/25 England FA Cup Women | Chelsea (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Liverpool (W) |
| 10/11/24 England Super League Women | Liverpool (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Chelsea (W) |
Standings · England Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea (W) | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 5 | 26 |
| 2 | Man City (W) | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses (W) | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 19 |
| 4 | Man Utd (W) | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 18 |
| 5 | Tottenham (W) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 18 | 17 |
| 6 | Arsenal (W) | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Everton (W) | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | Liverpool (W) | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 11 |
| 9 | Brighton (W) | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 11 |
| 10 | Aston Villa (W) | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 10 |
| 11 | West Ham (W) | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 9 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace (W) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 9 |
| 13 | Birmingham (W) | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 6 |
| 14 | Charlton (W) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 28 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Liverpool (W) | Chelsea (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| West Ham (W) | 1-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Aston Villa (W) | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Man Utd (W) | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Everton (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Tottenham (W) | 1-1 D | 6-2 W |
| Charlton (W) | 4-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 5 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Chelsea (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liverpool (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Brighton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/11 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 01/11 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | London City Lionesses (W) England Super League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 03/10 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Charlton (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
Chelsea (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Man City (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/11 | Everton (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 01/11 | Charlton (W) England Super League Women |
4-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 25/10 | Crystal Palace (W) England Super League Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 13 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Tottenham (W) England Super League Women |
1-1 | 6-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | West Ham (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 27/09 | Arsenal (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Aston Villa (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Man Utd (W) England Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liverpool (W) vs Chelsea (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chelsea (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Liverpool (W) 26%, draw 23%, Chelsea (W) 52%.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool (W) vs Chelsea (W)?
The model expects 3.58 goals (Liverpool (W) 1.46 · Chelsea (W) 2.12), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Liverpool (W) vs Chelsea (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.