Football · Cyprus Division 1 · 21/11, 15:00
Prediction: Omonia Aradippou vs Pafos FC
Team pages: Omonia Aradippou · Pafos FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Omonia Aradippou0.76
Pafos FC1.76
1X2
Omonia Aradippou
Draw
Pafos FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Omonia Aradippou
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Pafos FC
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Omonia Aradippou
0–6
Pafos FC
(6 last)
- Pafos FC2-0Omonia Aradippou
- Omonia Aradippou0-2Pafos FC
- Omonia Aradippou0-2Pafos FC
- Pafos FC4-0Omonia Aradippou
- Pafos FC1-0Omonia Aradippou
- Omonia Aradippou0-1Pafos FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Omonia Aradippou 1464 · Pafos FC 1534
| Omonia Aradippou | Draw | Pafos FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 25% | 60% |
| Market | 16% | 23% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pafos FC (rating 1464 vs 1534).
- H2H favours Pafos FC: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Omonia Aradippou | Pafos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.8 | 3.4 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Omonia Aradippou 0–0–6 Pafos FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/26 Cyprus Division 1 | Pafos FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Omonia Aradippou |
| 21/09/25 Cyprus Division 1 | Omonia Aradippou | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Pafos FC |
| 08/02/25 Cyprus Division 1 | Omonia Aradippou | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Pafos FC |
| 03/11/24 Cyprus Division 1 | Pafos FC | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Omonia Aradippou |
| 07/01/17 Cyprus Division 2 | Pafos FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Omonia Aradippou |
| 24/09/16 Cyprus Division 2 | Omonia Aradippou | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Pafos FC |
Standings · Cyprus Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Omonia Nicosia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | AEL Limassol | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 18 |
| 4 | Apoel Nicosia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | Pafos FC | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Apollon Limassol | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 16 |
| 7 | Aris Limassol | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| 8 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 11 |
| 9 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 9 |
| 10 | Nea Salamis Famagusta | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 8 |
| 11 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
| 12 | APK Karmotissa | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 6 |
| 13 | Omonia Aradippou | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| 14 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Omonia Aradippou | Pafos FC |
|---|---|---|
| Nea Salamis Famagusta | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Apoel Nicosia | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Anorthosis Famagusta | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| AEL Limassol | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| AEK Larnaca | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Olympiakos Nicosia | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| APK Karmotissa | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 5 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Pafos FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Omonia Aradippou
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/11 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 24/10 | Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/10 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 12/09 | APK Karmotissa Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 31/08 | Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Ethnikos Achnas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Pafos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Omonia 29is Maiou Cyprus Division 1 |
3-0 | 4-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 31/10 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 26/10 | Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 19/10 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 07/09 | Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | APK Karmotissa Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 22/05 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Omonia Aradippou vs Pafos FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Pafos FC win (61%). Probabilities: Omonia Aradippou 15%, draw 24%, Pafos FC 61%.
How many goals are expected in Omonia Aradippou vs Pafos FC?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Omonia Aradippou 0.76 · Pafos FC 1.76), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Omonia Aradippou vs Pafos FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.