Football · Scotland Championship · 21/11, 16:00

Prediction: Queen's Park vs Livingston

Team pages: Queen's Park · Livingston

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

Queen's Park0.73

Livingston1.75

1X2

15% 22% 62%

Queen's Park Draw Livingston

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

0-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Queen's Park 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLLLL

Livingston 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLLDWWDW

Head-to-head

Queen's Park 1–2–3 Livingston (6 last)

Livingston2-0Queen's Park
Livingston3-0Queen's Park
Queen's Park0-5Livingston
Queen's Park2-0Livingston
Livingston1-1Queen's Park
Queen's Park1-1Livingston

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Queen's Park 1408 · Livingston 1567

	Queen's Park	Draw	Livingston
Our model	14%	25%	61%
Market	17%	20%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Livingston (rating 1408 vs 1567).
H2H favours Livingston: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Queen's Park	Livingston
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.8	1.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.2	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/10/80%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

15.50

X4.50

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.77

2 (-1.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Pinn 6.32 ★
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.44 → 1.44	Pinn 1.46

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7% Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:03 +22’	5.50	4.50	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:15 +10’	6.32	4.41	1.46

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Queen's Park 1–2–3 Livingston

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Scotland Championship	Livingston	2-0 HT 0-0	Queen's Park
05/04/25 Scotland Championship	Livingston	3-0 HT 3-0	Queen's Park
30/03/25 Scotland League Challenge Cup	Queen's Park	0-5 HT 0-2	Livingston
04/01/25 Scotland Championship	Queen's Park	2-0 HT 1-0	Livingston
02/11/24 Scotland Championship	Livingston	1-1 HT 0-0	Queen's Park
09/08/24 Scotland Championship	Queen's Park	1-1 HT 1-0	Livingston

Standings · Scotland Championship

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Partick	15	9	4	2	21	9	31
2	Stenhousemuir	15	8	2	5	18	16	26
3	Raith	15	7	4	4	21	12	25
4	Dunfermline	14	6	7	1	15	7	25
5	Livingston	15	7	3	5	21	12	24
6	Inverness CT	15	5	5	5	20	20	20
7	Ayr	14	5	3	6	17	19	18
8	Arbroath	14	4	2	8	11	23	14
9	Morton	14	4	1	9	16	25	13
10	Queen's Park	15	2	1	12	8	25	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Queen's Park	Livingston
Stenhousemuir	0-2 L	3-0 W
Partick	0-1 L	1-2 L
Ayr	2-3 L	1-2 L
Dunfermline	0-1 L	0-0 D
Morton	0-2 L	2-0 W
Inverness CT	2-1 W	1-1 D
Raith	0-2 L	2-0 W
Arbroath	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 7 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Livingston (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Queen's Park

LLLLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
07/11	Partick Scotland Championship	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
31/10	Ayr Scotland Championship	0-1	2-3	2	5	L
24/10	Dunfermline Scotland Championship	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
17/10	Morton Scotland Championship	0-2	0-2	3	7	L
13/10	Inverness CT Scotland Championship	2-1	2-1	5	2	W
10/10	Raith Scotland Championship	0-1	0-2	4	9	L
25/09	Arbroath Scotland Championship	0-2	1-2	9	4	L
18/09	Ayr Scotland Championship	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
12/09	Dunfermline Scotland Championship	0-2	0-2	9	6	L

Livingston

WDWLLDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	Morton Scotland Championship	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
07/11	Inverness CT Scotland Championship	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
30/10	Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship	2-0	3-0	5	2	W
24/10	Arbroath Scotland Championship	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
17/10	Dunfermline Scotland Championship	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
10/10	Partick Scotland Championship	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
03/10	Ayr Scotland Championship	1-2	1-2	10	7	L
25/09	Raith Scotland Championship	0-0	2-0	2	5	W
19/09	Inverness CT Scotland Championship	1-0	2-2	0	3	D
11/09	Morton Scotland Championship	2-0	4-1	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Queen's Park vs Livingston?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Livingston win (62%). Probabilities: Queen's Park 15%, draw 22%, Livingston 62%.

How many goals are expected in Queen's Park vs Livingston?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Queen's Park 0.73 · Livingston 1.75), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Queen's Park vs Livingston?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.