Football · France Ligue 3 · 21/11, 14:45

Prediction: Versailles 78 vs Bourg-Peronnas

Team pages: Versailles 78 · Bourg-Peronnas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Versailles 781.98
Bourg-Peronnas0.7
1X2
67% 21% 12%
Versailles 78 Draw Bourg-Peronnas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Versailles 78 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLLWDWWWWL
Bourg-Peronnas 0-3-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLDDLLLD
Head-to-head
Versailles 78 4–2 Bourg-Peronnas (6 last)
  • Versailles 781-0Bourg-Peronnas
  • Bourg-Peronnas0-1Versailles 78
  • Versailles 783-0Bourg-Peronnas
  • Bourg-Peronnas1-0Versailles 78
  • Bourg-Peronnas3-1Versailles 78
  • Versailles 782-0Bourg-Peronnas
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Versailles 78 1554 · Bourg-Peronnas 1434
Versailles 78DrawBourg-Peronnas
Our model67%22%11%
Market67%21%12%
Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Versailles 78 (rating 1554 vs 1434).
  • H2H favours Versailles 78: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Versailles 78Bourg-Peronnas
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.10.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.30.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.31.2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 04.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Versailles 78 4–0–2 Bourg-Peronnas

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/03/26
France Ligue 3
Versailles 781-0
HT 0-0
Bourg-Peronnas
03/10/25
France Ligue 3
Bourg-Peronnas0-1
HT 0-1
Versailles 78
25/04/25
France Ligue 3
Versailles 783-0
HT 1-0
Bourg-Peronnas
13/12/24
France Ligue 3
Bourg-Peronnas1-0
HT 0-0
Versailles 78
03/02/23
France Ligue 3
Bourg-Peronnas3-1
HT 2-1
Versailles 78
26/08/22
France Ligue 3
Versailles 782-0
HT 1-0
Bourg-Peronnas

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVersailles 78Bourg-Peronnas
Caen 0-1 L 0-2 L
Aubagne Air Bel 4-0 W 0-2 L
Thionville FC 2-1 W 0-2 L
SC Bastia 3-2 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Versailles 78 (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Versailles 78

WLLWDWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-1 85 L
31/10 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
2-0 4-0 38 W
17/10 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-1 40 W
03/10 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-0 48 W
26/09 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
1-1 2-1 115 W
19/09 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 54 D
12/09 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
2-0 4-0 44 W
05/09 Cannes
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-3 63 L
29/08 Amiens
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-3 35 L
20/08 SC Bastia
France Ligue 3
2-1 3-2 –– W

Bourg-Peronnas

LLLLDDLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Le Puy
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 44 D
31/10 La Roche VF
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-2 14 L
17/10 FC Fleury 91
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-1 46 L
03/10 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 23 L
26/09 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-1 06 D
19/09 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-1 15 D
12/09 SC Bastia
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-1 –– L
05/09 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 92 L
29/08 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
0-2 0-2 410 L
20/08 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
0-2 0-2 75 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Versailles 78 vs Bourg-Peronnas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Versailles 78 win (67%). Probabilities: Versailles 78 67%, draw 21%, Bourg-Peronnas 12%.

How many goals are expected in Versailles 78 vs Bourg-Peronnas?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Versailles 78 1.98 · Bourg-Peronnas 0.7), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Versailles 78 vs Bourg-Peronnas?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.