Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 21/11, 16:00

Prediction: Coquimbo Unido vs Everton de Vina

Team pages: Coquimbo Unido · Everton de Vina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Coquimbo Unido1.77

Everton de Vina1.31

1X2

47% 26% 27%

Coquimbo Unido Draw Everton de Vina

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Coquimbo Unido 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DDLWLLWLWW

Everton de Vina 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWWLDL

Head-to-head

Coquimbo Unido 2–3–1 Everton de Vina (6 last)

Everton de Vina1-1Coquimbo Unido
Coquimbo Unido2-1Everton de Vina
Everton de Vina0-0Coquimbo Unido
Coquimbo Unido2-2Everton de Vina
Everton de Vina1-2Coquimbo Unido
Coquimbo Unido0-2Everton de Vina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Coquimbo Unido 1559 · Everton de Vina 1500

	Coquimbo Unido	Draw	Everton de Vina
Our model	47%	25%	27%
Market	47%	26%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coquimbo Unido (rating 1559 vs 1500).
H2H favours Coquimbo Unido: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Coquimbo Unido	Everton de Vina
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.8	3.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.50

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.15 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.74
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
23:29 +55’	1.95	3.50	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:23 +1’	2.05	3.70	3.39
11:05 +12’	2.13▲	3.70	3.19▼
13:42 +11’	2.15▲	3.74▲	3.12▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Coquimbo Unido 2–3–1 Everton de Vina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Chile Liga de Primera	Everton de Vina	1-1 HT 0-0	Coquimbo Unido
17/08/25 Chile Liga de Primera	Coquimbo Unido	2-1 HT 0-0	Everton de Vina
16/03/25 Chile Liga de Primera	Everton de Vina	0-0 HT 0-0	Coquimbo Unido
25/09/24 Chile Liga de Primera	Coquimbo Unido	2-2 HT 0-1	Everton de Vina
28/04/24 Chile Liga de Primera	Everton de Vina	1-2 HT 0-0	Coquimbo Unido
31/07/23 Chile Liga de Primera	Coquimbo Unido	0-2 HT 0-1	Everton de Vina

Standings · Chile Liga de Primera

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colo Colo	27	19	4	4	59	30	61
2	Universidad de Chile	27	15	6	6	47	22	51
3	Universidad Catolica	27	15	4	8	56	37	49
4	Deportes Limache	27	12	4	11	48	40	40
5	Everton de Vina	27	11	7	9	43	35	40
6	Coquimbo Unido	27	11	5	11	39	36	38
7	Palestino	27	11	5	11	39	38	38
8	Deportes Concepcion	27	11	5	11	30	30	38
9	La Serena	27	9	10	8	40	42	37
10	Huachipato	27	10	6	11	35	41	36
11	Nublense	27	9	8	10	31	41	35
12	O'Higgins	27	9	4	14	32	42	31
13	Audax Italiano	27	7	9	11	28	36	30
14	Cobresal	27	7	6	14	39	50	27
15	Universidad de Concepcion	27	7	5	15	22	49	26
16	Union La Calera	27	6	6	15	24	43	24

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Coquimbo Unido	Everton de Vina
Audax Italiano	1-0 W	1-1 D
Nublense	1-2 L	3-1 W
Cobresal	2-3 L	2-2 D
Universidad de Chile	2-4 L	1-4 L
Universidad de Concepcion	1-0 W	3-1 W
Universidad Catolica	1-2 L	0-1 L
Deportes Concepcion	1-1 D	0-2 L
La Serena	1-1 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Everton de Vina (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Coquimbo Unido

DDLWLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
30/10	Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
25/10	Nublense Chile Liga de Primera	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
11/10	Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera	3-1	5-2	5	5	W
12/09	Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera	1-1	2-3	9	4	L
06/09	Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	2-4	4	5	L
03/09	Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	1-0	12	4	W
27/08	Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	1-2	6	3	L
23/08	Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
08/08	La Serena Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	1-1	12	8	D

Everton de Vina

WDWWLWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
01/11	Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	2-2	5	4	D
26/10	Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera	0-2	1-4	8	6	L
11/10	La Serena Chile Liga de Primera	1-1	3-2	8	8	W
12/09	Nublense Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	3-1	2	6	W
05/09	Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
29/08	Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera	2-0	3-0	2	9	W
25/08	Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera	3-1	3-1	9	7	W
16/08	Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	1-1	3	8	D
08/08	Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera	3-1	4-1	7	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Coquimbo Unido vs Everton de Vina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Coquimbo Unido win (47%). Probabilities: Coquimbo Unido 47%, draw 26%, Everton de Vina 27%.

How many goals are expected in Coquimbo Unido vs Everton de Vina?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Coquimbo Unido 1.77 · Everton de Vina 1.31), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Coquimbo Unido vs Everton de Vina?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.