Football · Indonesia Super League · 21/11, 13:00
Prediction: PSM Makassar vs Persija Jakarta
Team pages: PSM Makassar · Persija Jakarta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
PSM Makassar1.24
Persija Jakarta1.43
1X2
PSM Makassar
Draw
Persija Jakarta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
PSM Makassar
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Persija Jakarta
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PSM Makassar
2–2–2
Persija Jakarta
(6 last)
- Persija Jakarta2-1PSM Makassar
- PSM Makassar2-0Persija Jakarta
- PSM Makassar1-0Persija Jakarta
- Persija Jakarta1-1PSM Makassar
- PSM Makassar2-3Persija Jakarta
- Persija Jakarta1-1PSM Makassar
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Persija Jakarta (rating 1492 vs 1575).
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PSM Makassar | Persija Jakarta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 2.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PSM Makassar 2–2–2 Persija Jakarta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/26 Indonesia Super League | Persija Jakarta | 2-1 HT 1-1 | PSM Makassar |
| 21/09/25 Indonesia Super League | PSM Makassar | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Persija Jakarta |
| 23/02/25 Indonesia Super League | PSM Makassar | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Persija Jakarta |
| 29/09/24 Indonesia Super League | Persija Jakarta | 1-1 HT 0-1 | PSM Makassar |
| 03/11/23 Indonesia Super League | PSM Makassar | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Persija Jakarta |
| 03/07/23 Indonesia Super League | Persija Jakarta | 1-1 HT 0-1 | PSM Makassar |
Standings · Indonesia Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Dewa United FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Bali United | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Madura United | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Persita Tangerang | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 15 |
| 7 | Java United FC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 13 |
| 8 | Persebaya Surabaya | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Bhayangkara FC | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | Garudayaksa | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 11 |
| 11 | Borneo FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 13 | Persik Kediri | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 10 |
| 14 | Arema FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | 9 |
| 15 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 6 |
| 16 | PSS Sleman | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 5 |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
| 18 | Persijap Jepara | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PSM Makassar | Persija Jakarta |
|---|---|---|
| Borneo FC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Persebaya Surabaya | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| PSIM Yogyakarta | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Persita Tangerang | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Arema FC | 3-3 D | 5-1 W |
| Persib Bandung | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Persija Jakarta (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PSM Makassar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Borneo FC Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 31/10 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 26/10 | Bhayangkara FC Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/10 | Persebaya Surabaya Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/10 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Madura United Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
Persija Jakarta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Persebaya Surabaya Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/10 | Dewa United FC Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 26/10 | Persik Kediri Indonesia Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 21/10 | Arema FC Indonesia Super League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 17/10 | Persita Tangerang Indonesia Super League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | PSIM Yogyakarta Indonesia Super League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Java United FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Persib Bandung Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Borneo FC Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Semen Padang Indonesia Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PSM Makassar vs Persija Jakarta?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Persija Jakarta win (40%). Probabilities: PSM Makassar 32%, draw 28%, Persija Jakarta 40%.
How many goals are expected in PSM Makassar vs Persija Jakarta?
The model expects 2.67 goals (PSM Makassar 1.24 · Persija Jakarta 1.43), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in PSM Makassar vs Persija Jakarta?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.