Football · Spain La Liga · 29/11, 17:00
Prediction: Valencia vs Osasuna
Team pages: Valencia · Osasuna
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Valencia1.46
Osasuna1.1
1X2
Valencia
Draw
Osasuna
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Valencia
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Osasuna
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Valencia
2–2–2
Osasuna
(6 last)
- Valencia1-0Osasuna
- Osasuna1-0Valencia
- Osasuna3-3Valencia
- Valencia0-0Osasuna
- Osasuna0-1Valencia
- Valencia1-2Osasuna
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valencia 1462 · Osasuna 1465
| Valencia | Draw | Osasuna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Market | 45% | 27% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Valencia | Osasuna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.9 | 1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.7 | 1.1 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.5 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valencia 2–2–2 Osasuna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Spain La Liga | Valencia | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Osasuna |
| 24/08/25 Spain La Liga | Osasuna | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Valencia |
| 02/03/25 Spain La Liga | Osasuna | 3-3 HT 3-2 | Valencia |
| 24/09/24 Spain La Liga | Valencia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Osasuna |
| 15/04/24 Spain La Liga | Osasuna | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Valencia |
| 27/08/23 Spain La Liga | Valencia | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Osasuna |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 10 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
| 9 | Racing Santander | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 14 |
| 10 | CD Alaves | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 13 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
| 12 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 12 |
| 15 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 12 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 10 |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valencia | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Racing Santander | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| CD Alaves | 1-0 W | 2-5 L |
| Sevilla | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo A Coruna | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valencia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Real Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 01/11 | Elche Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/10 | Villarreal Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 17/10 | Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 11/10 | Racing Santander Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 20/09 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | CD Alaves Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/09 | Sevilla Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Osasuna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 02/11 | Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/10 | Sevilla Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Racing Santander Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Real Betis Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/09 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Espanyol Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | CD Alaves Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valencia vs Osasuna?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Valencia win (45%). Probabilities: Valencia 45%, draw 28%, Osasuna 28%.
How many goals are expected in Valencia vs Osasuna?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Valencia 1.46 · Osasuna 1.1), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Valencia vs Osasuna?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.