Football · Japan J2-League · 21/11, 06:00

Prediction: Jubilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija

Team pages: Jubilo Iwata · Omiya Ardija

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Jubilo Iwata1.68

Omiya Ardija1.4

1X2

43% 26% 31%

Jubilo Iwata Draw Omiya Ardija

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Jubilo Iwata 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LLWDDDWWDW

Omiya Ardija 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLLDWWWW

Head-to-head

Jubilo Iwata 2–1–3 Omiya Ardija (6 last)

Omiya Ardija1-2Jubilo Iwata
Jubilo Iwata1-4Omiya Ardija
Jubilo Iwata3-4Omiya Ardija
Omiya Ardija2-2Jubilo Iwata
Jubilo Iwata3-2Omiya Ardija
Omiya Ardija1-0Jubilo Iwata

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Omiya Ardija: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jubilo Iwata	Omiya Ardija
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.8	2.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.4	2.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.01

Under 31.79

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:12

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.37 → 2.39▲	Pinn 2.39
X	3.56 → 3.60▲	Pinn 3.60
2	2.72 → 2.75▲	Pinn 2.75

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
07:06 +5’	2.37	3.56	2.72
08:00 +12’	2.39▲	3.60▲	2.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jubilo Iwata 2–1–3 Omiya Ardija

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Omiya Ardija	1-2 HT 1-0	Jubilo Iwata
21/03/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Jubilo Iwata	1-4 HT 0-2	Omiya Ardija
27/09/25 Japan J2-League	Jubilo Iwata	3-4 HT 2-1	Omiya Ardija
31/05/25 Japan J2-League	Omiya Ardija	2-2 HT 1-1	Jubilo Iwata
09/09/23 Japan J2-League	Jubilo Iwata	3-2 HT 1-1	Omiya Ardija
11/03/23 Japan J2-League	Omiya Ardija	1-0 HT 0-0	Jubilo Iwata

Standings · Japan J2-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	17	10	3	4	32	15	33
2	Omiya Ardija	17	9	6	2	32	19	33
3	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	17	9	5	3	29	18	32
4	Albirex Niigata	17	10	2	5	24	27	32
5	Yokohama FC	17	9	4	4	32	19	31
6	Kataller Toyama	17	9	4	4	31	18	31
7	Jubilo Iwata	17	7	5	5	21	17	26
8	Shonan Bellmare	17	6	8	3	18	15	26
9	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	17	8	2	7	23	21	26
10	Iwaki FC	17	7	3	7	28	24	24
11	Sagan Tosu	17	7	2	8	18	20	23
12	Oita	17	5	7	5	20	20	22
13	Blaublitz Akita	17	5	5	7	18	22	20
14	Tokushima Vortis	17	6	2	9	15	19	20
15	Fujieda MYFC	17	4	7	6	18	21	19
16	Montedio Yamagata	17	6	1	10	15	18	19
17	Tochigi City	17	4	3	10	27	32	15
18	Vanraure Hachinohe	17	4	3	10	13	28	15
19	FC Imabari	17	3	3	11	16	34	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	17	3	3	11	12	35	12

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jubilo Iwata	Omiya Ardija
Sagan Tosu	2-0 W	1-2 L
Iwaki FC	1-1 D	2-1 W
Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1-1 D	1-1 D
Vegalta Sendai	1-2 L	2-1 W
Vanraure Hachinohe	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Omiya Ardija (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jubilo Iwata

LLWDDDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/11	FC Imabari Japan J2-League	2-0	2-0	5	2	W
08/11	Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
03/11	Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
31/10	Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League	0-0	2-0	7	1	W
25/10	Iwaki FC Japan J2-League	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
21/10	Oita Japan J2-League	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
17/10	Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
10/10	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
04/10	Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League	1-1	1-2	3	8	L
26/09	Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League	0-1	1-2	6	2	L

Omiya Ardija

WDWLLDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
08/11	Tochigi City Japan J2-League	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
03/11	Iwaki FC Japan J2-League	2-0	2-1	0	3	W
31/10	Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League	1-0	2-1	1	7	W
24/10	Yokohama FC Japan J2-League	1-1	2-2	3	4	D
21/10	Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League	0-0	0-3	7	2	L
17/10	Sagan Tosu Japan J2-League	0-1	1-2	7	2	L
10/10	Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League	1-0	3-1	8	1	W
04/10	Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2-League	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
26/09	Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League	2-0	5-1	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jubilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jubilo Iwata win (43%). Probabilities: Jubilo Iwata 43%, draw 26%, Omiya Ardija 31%.

How many goals are expected in Jubilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Jubilo Iwata 1.68 · Omiya Ardija 1.4), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Jubilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.