Football · Austria 2. Liga · 20/11, 20:30

Prediction: SV Austria Salzburg vs Admira Wacker

Team pages: SV Austria Salzburg · Admira Wacker

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

SV Austria Salzburg1.42

Admira Wacker1.39

1X2

38% 26% 36%

SV Austria Salzburg Draw Admira Wacker

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Austria Salzburg 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Admira Wacker 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SV Austria Salzburg 0–1–1 Admira Wacker (2 last)

SV Austria Salzburg0-0Admira Wacker
Admira Wacker4-0SV Austria Salzburg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Austria Salzburg 1476 · Admira Wacker 1503

	SV Austria Salzburg	Draw	Admira Wacker
Our model	37%	28%	35%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Austria Salzburg	Admira Wacker
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.5	2.2 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.4	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.60

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.68
2	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.70 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.4% Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
23:41 +38’	2.40	3.60	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:09 +10’	2.39	3.68	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Austria Salzburg 0–1–1 Admira Wacker

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Austria 2. Liga	SV Austria Salzburg	0-0 HT 0-0	Admira Wacker
18/10/25 Austria 2. Liga	Admira Wacker	4-0 HT 2-0	SV Austria Salzburg

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	12	10	1	1	35	6	31
2	First Vienna FC 1894	12	8	2	2	22	16	26
3	FK Austria Vienna II	12	7	2	3	20	15	23
4	FC Liefering	12	6	2	4	26	24	20
5	SV Austria Salzburg	12	6	1	5	21	18	19
6	Admira Wacker	12	6	1	5	15	13	19
7	FC Wacker Innsbruck	12	5	2	5	16	15	17
8	SKU Amstetten	12	4	5	3	20	20	17
9	SW Bregenz	12	4	4	4	15	16	16
10	ASK Voitsberg	12	4	3	5	23	21	15
11	St Polten	12	4	3	5	12	13	15
12	Sturm Graz II	12	4	2	6	21	25	14
13	Floridsdorfer AC	12	4	2	6	16	21	14
14	Rapid Vienna II	12	2	2	8	12	25	8
15	SV Kapfenberg	12	2	2	8	14	25	8
16	Hertha Wels	12	2	2	8	15	30	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Austria Salzburg	Admira Wacker
FC Blau Weiss Linz	0-1 L	0-3 L
FC Wacker Innsbruck	1-0 W	1-0 W
Floridsdorfer AC	2-1 W	2-0 W
ASK Voitsberg	1-2 L	3-2 W
Sturm Graz II	3-3 D	2-0 W
St Polten	0-1 L	2-2 D
SV Kapfenberg	3-2 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Admira Wacker (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Austria Salzburg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-4	5	2	L
30/10	SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga	2-0	3-0	6	5	W
23/10	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	0	L
16/10	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
10/10	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	0-0	2-1	8	10	W
19/09	ASK Voitsberg Austria 2. Liga	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
12/09	Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga	1-1	3-3	3	10	D
28/08	St Polten Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	11	6	L
21/08	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	2-1	3-2	5	7	W
15/08	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-3	1-3	4	7	L

Admira Wacker

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	St Polten Austria 2. Liga	2-0	2-2	1	3	D
31/10	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
24/10	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
17/10	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	7	1	W
11/10	ASK Voitsberg Austria 2. Liga	2-2	3-2	6	4	W
18/09	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-3	6	5	L
11/09	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	11	1	W
28/08	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
21/08	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
15/08	Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Austria Salzburg vs Admira Wacker?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Austria Salzburg win (38%). Probabilities: SV Austria Salzburg 38%, draw 26%, Admira Wacker 36%.

How many goals are expected in SV Austria Salzburg vs Admira Wacker?

The model expects 2.81 goals (SV Austria Salzburg 1.42 · Admira Wacker 1.39), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Austria Salzburg vs Admira Wacker?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.