Football · England League 2 · 21/11, 16:00

Prediction: Barnet vs Port Vale

Team pages: Barnet · Port Vale

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Barnet1.62
Port Vale1.25
1X2
45% 27% 29%
Barnet Draw Port Vale
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Barnet 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DDWWWWLDWD
Port Vale 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LLWLWWDLWW
Head-to-head
Barnet 0–1–1 Port Vale (2 last)
  • Barnet1-1Port Vale
  • Port Vale1-0Barnet
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barnet 1566 · Port Vale 1552
BarnetDrawPort Vale
Our model45%27%29%
Market45%26%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BarnetPort Vale
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.41.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.90.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.9 / 6.32.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.63.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Barnet 0–1–1 Port Vale

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/03/18
England League 2
Barnet1-1
HT 1-0
Port Vale
18/11/17
England League 2
Port Vale1-0
HT 0-0
Barnet

Standings · England League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Salford City 151023 261632
2 Barnet 13751 281826
3 Grimsby 15654 281923
4 York 15654 252123
5 Crewe 15582 191923
6 Walsall 13571 211222
7 Chesterfield 15645 262122
8 Exeter 15645 12922
9 Cheltenham 15636 232621
10 Shrewsbury 15636 192321
11 Fleetwood Town 15555 191820
12 Gillingham 15555 202120
13 Accrington Stanley 15474 252119
14 Newport County 15474 221919
15 Tranmere 15474 191819
16 Swindon 15546 162119
17 Port Vale 13535 141618
18 Bristol Rovers 15519 172516
19 Northampton 14365 101115
20 Oldham 15438 162115
21 Colchester 14365 141915
22 Rochdale 15438 172715
23 Rotherham 14266 182512
24 Crawley Town 12237 13219

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBarnetPort Vale
York 3-1 W 0-2 L
Swindon 1-3 L 1-3 L
Accrington Stanley 2-1 W 4-2 W
Chesterfield 3-3 D 1-0 W
Exeter 1-1 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Port Vale (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barnet

DDWWWWLDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Crewe
England League 2
1-0 1-1 54 D
27/10 York
England League 2
1-1 3-1 410 W
24/10 Oldham
England League 2
1-0 1-1 113 D
20/10 Swindon
England League 2
0-3 1-3 141 L
17/10 Tranmere
England League 2
0-1 2-1 65 W
10/10 Bristol Rovers
England League 2
0-1 3-1 25 W
19/09 Fleetwood Town
England League 2
1-1 3-1 56 W
12/09 Accrington Stanley
England League 2
0-1 2-1 66 W
05/09 Chesterfield
England League 2
2-1 3-3 87 D
01/09 Exeter
England League 2
0-0 1-1 25 D

Port Vale

LLWLWWDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/11 Accrington Stanley
England League 2
2-0 4-2 72 W
31/10 Rochdale
England League 2
3-0 4-2 45 W
24/10 York
England League 2
0-0 0-2 81 L
20/10 Gillingham
England League 2
0-1 1-1 43 D
17/10 Chesterfield
England League 2
1-0 1-0 05 W
10/10 Grimsby
England League 2
1-0 1-0 82 W
19/09 Walsall
England League 2
0-1 0-2 46 L
12/09 Exeter
England League 2
0-0 1-0 65 W
05/09 Salford City
England League 2
0-0 0-1 63 L
01/09 Swindon
England League 2
1-1 1-3 42 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barnet vs Port Vale?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Barnet win (45%). Probabilities: Barnet 45%, draw 27%, Port Vale 29%.

How many goals are expected in Barnet vs Port Vale?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Barnet 1.62 · Port Vale 1.25), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Barnet vs Port Vale?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.