Football · Russia Premier League · 22/11, 12:00
Prediction: Dinamo Moscow vs Krasnodar
Team pages: Dinamo Moscow · Krasnodar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Dinamo Moscow1.66
Krasnodar0.78
1X2
Dinamo Moscow
Draw
Krasnodar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Dinamo Moscow
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Krasnodar
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dinamo Moscow
2–2–2
Krasnodar
(6 last)
- Krasnodar2-1Dinamo Moscow
- Dinamo Moscow0-1Krasnodar
- Dinamo Moscow2-1Krasnodar
- Krasnodar0-0Dinamo Moscow
- Dinamo Moscow0-0Krasnodar
- Dinamo Moscow1-0Krasnodar
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Moscow (rating 1593 vs 1516).
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dinamo Moscow | Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.3 | – / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 5.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Moscow 2–2–2 Krasnodar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/26 Russia Cup | Krasnodar | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Dinamo Moscow |
| 19/08/26 Russia Cup | Dinamo Moscow | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Krasnodar |
| 11/05/26 Russia Premier League | Dinamo Moscow | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Krasnodar |
| 07/05/26 Russia Cup | Krasnodar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Moscow |
| 08/04/26 Russia Cup | Dinamo Moscow | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Krasnodar |
| 10/02/26 Club Friendly List | Dinamo Moscow | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Krasnodar |
Standings · Russia Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 15 | 31 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 29 |
| 4 | Krasnodar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 26 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 6 | Rostov | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 19 |
| 7 | Krylia Sovetov | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 18 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 18 |
| 9 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Orenburg | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 16 |
| 12 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 14 |
| 13 | Rodina Moscow | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 12 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 12 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 11 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dinamo Moscow | Krasnodar |
|---|---|---|
| Akron Tolyatti | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| CSKA Moscow | 3-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Rostov | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Orenburg | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Rodina Moscow | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Dinamo Moscow (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dinamo Moscow
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/10 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/10 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/09 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
Krasnodar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 31/10 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 24/10 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 17/09 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 13/09 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 05/09 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dinamo Moscow vs Krasnodar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dinamo Moscow win (57%). Probabilities: Dinamo Moscow 57%, draw 26%, Krasnodar 16%.
How many goals are expected in Dinamo Moscow vs Krasnodar?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Dinamo Moscow 1.66 · Krasnodar 0.78), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dinamo Moscow vs Krasnodar?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.