Prediction: Young Boys vs FC Thun
Team pages: Young Boys · FC Thun
- FC Thun0-6Young Boys
- Young Boys1-1FC Thun
- FC Thun3-8Young Boys
- Young Boys1-2FC Thun
- FC Thun4-1Young Boys
- Young Boys4-2FC Thun
| Young Boys | Draw | FC Thun | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 17% | 17% |
| Market | 66% | 18% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Young Boys (rating 1594 vs 1477).
- H2H favours Young Boys: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Young Boys | FC Thun | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 2.1 | 2.2 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.5 | 2.3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Young Boys 3–1–2 FC Thun
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Switzerland Super League | FC Thun | 0-6 HT 0-3 | Young Boys |
| 26/06/26 Club Friendly List | Young Boys | 1-1 | FC Thun |
| 14/05/26 Switzerland Super League | FC Thun | 3-8 HT 2-3 | Young Boys |
| 08/03/26 Switzerland Super League | Young Boys | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FC Thun |
| 25/01/26 Switzerland Super League | FC Thun | 4-1 HT 0-0 | Young Boys |
| 28/09/25 Switzerland Super League | Young Boys | 4-2 HT 0-0 | FC Thun |
Standings · Switzerland Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 15 | 34 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 41 | 25 | 28 |
| 3 | FC Sion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | St Gallen | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 22 |
| 5 | FC Zurich | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 21 |
| 6 | Servette | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
| 7 | Basel | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 25 | 15 |
| 8 | FC Thun | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 37 | 14 |
| 9 | Lucerne | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 28 | 13 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 11 |
| 11 | FC Vaduz | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 10 |
| 12 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Young Boys | FC Thun |
|---|---|---|
| FC Zurich | 3-5 L | 2-4 L |
| St Gallen | 2-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Grasshoppers | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Servette | 3-2 W | 2-4 L |
| Lugano | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Basel | 3-3 D | 3-3 D |
| FC Vaduz | 4-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Young Boys (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Young Boys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 01/11 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
3-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Lucerne Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 01/09 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
3-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
2-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
FC Thun
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Basel Switzerland Super League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/11 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
1-2 | 5-4 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | Lugano Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | FC Zurich Switzerland Super League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/09 | Servette Switzerland Super League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | FC Sion Switzerland Super League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 02/09 | FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | St Gallen Switzerland Super League |
1-0 | 4-3 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Young Boys vs FC Thun?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Young Boys win (66%). Probabilities: Young Boys 66%, draw 17%, FC Thun 16%.
How many goals are expected in Young Boys vs FC Thun?
The model expects 4.44 goals (Young Boys 2.95 · FC Thun 1.49), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Young Boys vs FC Thun?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.