Prediction: Stranraer vs Elgin
- Elgin1-5Stranraer
- Elgin0-1Stranraer
- Stranraer1-2Elgin
- Elgin1-2Stranraer
- Stranraer1-1Elgin
- Elgin3-0Stranraer
| Stranraer | Draw | Elgin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stranraer (rating 1617 vs 1474).
- H2H favours Stranraer: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stranraer | Elgin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.3 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.6 | 2.4 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stranraer 3–1–2 Elgin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 1-5 HT 1-3 | Stranraer |
| 02/05/26 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Stranraer |
| 28/02/26 Scotland League Two | Stranraer | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Elgin |
| 13/12/25 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Stranraer |
| 20/09/25 Scotland League Two | Stranraer | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Elgin |
| 26/04/25 Scotland League Two | Elgin | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Stranraer |
Standings · Scotland League Two
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | Clyde | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 22 | 30 |
| 3 | Elgin | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 21 |
| 4 | Spartans | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 18 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 18 |
| 6 | Stirling | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 30 | 18 |
| 7 | Dumbarton | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | 16 |
| 8 | FC Edinburgh | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 15 |
| 9 | Forfar | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 15 |
| 10 | Annan Athletic | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stranraer | Elgin |
|---|---|---|
| Kelty Hearts | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Stirling | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Clyde | 0-0 D | 6-2 W |
| Annan Athletic | 6-1 W | 0-2 L |
| FC Edinburgh | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Dumbarton | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Forfar | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Stranraer (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stranraer
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 07/11 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 31/10 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 17/10 | Spartans Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 6-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 19/09 | Elgin Scotland League Two |
3-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Elgin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 07/11 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 31/10 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Forfar Scotland League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Clyde Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 6-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Stranraer Scotland League Two |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Annan Athletic Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Dumbarton Scotland League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Stirling Scotland League Two |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stranraer vs Elgin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stranraer win (44%). Probabilities: Stranraer 44%, draw 26%, Elgin 30%.
How many goals are expected in Stranraer vs Elgin?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Stranraer 1.69 · Elgin 1.37), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Stranraer vs Elgin?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.