Football · India Super League · 21/11, 12:30
Prediction: Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC
Team pages: Chennaiyin FC · Punjab FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Chennaiyin FC1.07
Punjab FC1.52
1X2
Chennaiyin FC
Draw
Punjab FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Chennaiyin FC
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Punjab FC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chennaiyin FC
2–1–3
Punjab FC
(6 last)
- Punjab FC1-0Chennaiyin FC
- Chennaiyin FC2-1Punjab FC
- Punjab FC3-2Chennaiyin FC
- Chennaiyin FC1-1Punjab FC
- Punjab FC1-0Chennaiyin FC
- Chennaiyin FC5-1Punjab FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Punjab FC (rating 1441 vs 1563).
- H2H favours Punjab FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chennaiyin FC | Punjab FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.3 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chennaiyin FC 2–1–3 Punjab FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 India Super League | Punjab FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chennaiyin FC |
| 15/02/25 India Super League | Chennaiyin FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Punjab FC |
| 31/10/24 India Super League | Punjab FC | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Chennaiyin FC |
| 11/01/24 India Super Cup | Chennaiyin FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Punjab FC |
| 18/12/23 India Super League | Punjab FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chennaiyin FC |
| 29/10/23 India Super League | Chennaiyin FC | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Punjab FC |
Standings · India Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohun Bagan SG | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Northeast United | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
| 3 | Bengaluru | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Sporting Club Delhi | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 5 | Punjab FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | East Bengal Club | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Goa | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Chennaiyin FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 9 | Kerala Blasters | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | Churchill Brothers SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| 11 | Mumbai City FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 11 | Odisha FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 13 | Inter Kashi FC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chennaiyin FC | Punjab FC |
|---|---|---|
| East Bengal Club | 5-3 W | 0-0 D |
| Mohun Bagan SG | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Chennaiyin FC (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chennaiyin FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | East Bengal Club India Super League |
3-1 | 5-3 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 31/10 | Kerala Blasters India Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 26/10 | Mohun Bagan SG India Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Bengaluru India Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | FC Goa India Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Bengaluru India Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Northeast United India Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 06/05 | Punjab FC India Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Jamshedpur FC India Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/04 | Mohammedan SC India Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | D |
Punjab FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Mohun Bagan SG India Super League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 25/10 | Churchill Brothers SC India Super League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/10 | Mumbai City FC India Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 14/10 | Odisha FC India Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/05 | Mumbai City FC India Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 16/05 | Odisha FC India Super League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 11/05 | East Bengal Club India Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Chennaiyin FC India Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Sporting Club Delhi India Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 20/04 | Inter Kashi FC India Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Punjab FC win (46%). Probabilities: Chennaiyin FC 26%, draw 28%, Punjab FC 46%.
How many goals are expected in Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Chennaiyin FC 1.07 · Punjab FC 1.52), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chennaiyin FC vs Punjab FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.