Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 20/11, 20:00
Prediction: Heracles vs PSV Reserves
Team pages: Heracles · PSV Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
Heracles2.33
PSV Reserves1.31
1X2
Heracles
Draw
PSV Reserves
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Heracles
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
PSV Reserves
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Heracles
2–0
PSV Reserves
(2 last)
- Heracles3-0PSV Reserves
- PSV Reserves0-3Heracles
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Heracles (rating 1572 vs 1474).
- H2H favours Heracles: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Heracles | PSV Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 8.3 | 1.6 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Heracles 2–0–0 PSV Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Heracles | 3-0 HT 2-0 | PSV Reserves |
| 22/08/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | PSV Reserves | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Heracles |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 46 | 16 | 38 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | VVV | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 29 |
| 4 | NAC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 28 |
| 5 | Roda JC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | FC Emmen | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 30 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 27 | 22 |
| 8 | Maastricht | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 29 | 20 |
| 9 | RKC | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 20 |
| 10 | FC Den Bosch | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 19 |
| 11 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
| 12 | AZ Reserves | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 31 | 17 |
| 13 | PSV Reserves | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 17 |
| 14 | Top Oss | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 17 |
| 15 | Ajax Reserves | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 16 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 15 |
| 17 | FC Eindhoven | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 32 | 14 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 37 | 12 |
| 19 | FC Dordrecht | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 36 | 12 |
| 20 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 11 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Heracles | PSV Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Roda JC | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| NAC | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Helmond Sport | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Vitesse | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| AZ Reserves | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Heracles (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Heracles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
3-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/11 | Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 23/10 | NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 18/10 | Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-1 | 5-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 09/10 | RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 02/10 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 9 | D |
| 26/09 | Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 18/09 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 11/09 | AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
PSV Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 02/11 | NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 23/10 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/10 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/10 | Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 19/09 | Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/09 | AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 11/09 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 07/09 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Heracles vs PSV Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Heracles win (59%). Probabilities: Heracles 59%, draw 21%, PSV Reserves 20%.
How many goals are expected in Heracles vs PSV Reserves?
The model expects 3.63 goals (Heracles 2.33 · PSV Reserves 1.31), with a 59% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Heracles vs PSV Reserves?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.