Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 21/11, 22:00
Prediction: O'Higgins vs Universidad de Chile
Team pages: O'Higgins · Universidad de Chile
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
O'Higgins1.17
Universidad de Chile1.74
1X2
O'Higgins
Draw
Universidad de Chile
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
O'Higgins
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Universidad de Chile
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
O'Higgins
1–5
Universidad de Chile
(6 last)
- Universidad de Chile2-0O'Higgins
- O'Higgins0-1Universidad de Chile
- Universidad de Chile6-0O'Higgins
- O'Higgins0-4Universidad de Chile
- Universidad de Chile1-0O'Higgins
- Universidad de Chile2-5O'Higgins
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · O'Higgins 1487 · Universidad de Chile 1596
| O'Higgins | Draw | Universidad de Chile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 26% | 49% |
| Market | 25% | 26% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad de Chile (rating 1487 vs 1596).
- H2H favours Universidad de Chile: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| O'Higgins | Universidad de Chile | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 2.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.5 | 2.5 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · O'Higgins 1–0–5 Universidad de Chile
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Chile | 2-0 HT 1-0 | O'Higgins |
| 23/11/25 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Universidad de Chile |
| 31/05/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Chile | 6-0 HT 3-0 | O'Higgins |
| 17/08/24 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Universidad de Chile |
| 16/03/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Chile | 1-0 HT 1-0 | O'Higgins |
| 08/08/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Chile | 2-5 HT 0-0 | O'Higgins |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 59 | 30 | 61 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 47 | 22 | 51 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 56 | 37 | 49 |
| 4 | Deportes Limache | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 48 | 40 | 40 |
| 5 | Everton de Vina | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 35 | 40 |
| 6 | Coquimbo Unido | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 36 | 38 |
| 7 | Palestino | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 38 |
| 8 | Deportes Concepcion | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 30 | 38 |
| 9 | La Serena | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 40 | 42 | 37 |
| 10 | Huachipato | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 41 | 36 |
| 11 | Nublense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 41 | 35 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 42 | 31 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 36 | 30 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 39 | 50 | 27 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 49 | 26 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 43 | 24 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | O'Higgins | Universidad de Chile |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepcion | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Nublense | 1-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Cobresal | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Universidad Catolica | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Palestino | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Colo Colo | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Deportes Limache | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Universidad de Chile (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
O'Higgins
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 31/10 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 25/10 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/09 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/09 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
Universidad de Chile
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/11 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/10 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 12/10 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 15 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 15/08 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in O'Higgins vs Universidad de Chile?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Universidad de Chile win (50%). Probabilities: O'Higgins 25%, draw 26%, Universidad de Chile 50%.
How many goals are expected in O'Higgins vs Universidad de Chile?
The model expects 2.91 goals (O'Higgins 1.17 · Universidad de Chile 1.74), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in O'Higgins vs Universidad de Chile?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.