Football · France Ligue 1 · 22/11, 15:00

Prediction: Paris FC vs Angers

Team pages: Paris FC · Angers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Paris FC2.19
Angers0.71
1X2
71% 19% 10%
Paris FC Draw Angers
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Paris FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DWWDWLWLWW
Angers 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LWLDWLLDLL
Head-to-head
Paris FC 1–1–3 Angers (5 last)
  • Angers3-2Paris FC
  • Paris FC0-0Angers
  • Angers1-0Paris FC
  • Paris FC3-1Angers
  • Angers2-0Paris FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paris FC 1553 · Angers 1443
Paris FCDrawAngers
Our model71%20%10%
Market71%19%10%
Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paris FC (rating 1553 vs 1443).
  • H2H favours Angers: 3-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Paris FCAngers
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 10.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.20.4 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/40/0%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.62.6 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 02.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Paris FC 1–1–3 Angers

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/08/26
Elite Club Friendlies
Angers3-2
HT 1-2
Paris FC
25/01/26
France Ligue 1
Paris FC0-0
HT 0-0
Angers
17/08/25
France Ligue 1
Angers1-0
HT 1-0
Paris FC
27/04/24
France Ligue 2
Paris FC3-1
HT 1-1
Angers
02/09/23
France Ligue 2
Angers2-0
HT 1-0
Paris FC

Standings · France Ligue 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 PSG 10721 221023
2 Lille 10631 14721
3 Paris FC 10622 171020
4 Marseille 10604 221418
5 Lyon 10523 15917
6 Nice 10523 151217
7 Monaco 10442 131116
8 Rennes 10514 212116
9 Brest 10433 181215
10 Lorient 10433 9815
11 Lens 10415 171513
12 Toulouse 10343 151413
13 Strasbourg 10316 182210
14 Auxerre 10316 132410
15 Le Mans 10154 12198
16 Angers 10226 9198
17 Troyes 10226 7178
18 Le Havre 10028 9222

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentParis FCAngers
Auxerre 1-0 W 3-1 W
Rennes 4-3 W 1-2 L
Lorient 0-1 L 0-0 D
Lyon 0-0 D 0-2 L
Marseille 3-2 W 2-5 L
Nice 3-0 W 0-2 L
Troyes 0-0 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Paris FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paris FC

DWWDWLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Auxerre
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-0 54 W
01/11 Monaco
France Ligue 1
2-0 3-1 34 W
24/10 Lens
France Ligue 1
1-0 1-2 16 L
18/10 Rennes
France Ligue 1
2-1 4-3 36 W
10/10 Lorient
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-1 95 L
19/09 Strasbourg
France Ligue 1
1-0 2-1 35 W
12/09 Lyon
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 43 D
06/09 Marseille
France Ligue 1
2-1 3-2 42 W
30/08 Nice
France Ligue 1
1-0 3-0 21 W
22/08 Troyes
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 23 D

Angers

LWLDWLLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Nice
France Ligue 1
0-1 0-2 64 L
01/11 Lyon
France Ligue 1
0-1 0-2 31 L
25/10 Lorient
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 62 D
18/10 Marseille
France Ligue 1
1-2 2-5 22 L
10/10 Brest
France Ligue 1
0-4 1-5 53 L
19/09 Troyes
France Ligue 1
1-0 2-0 25 W
12/09 Le Havre
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 62 D
06/09 Rennes
France Ligue 1
1-2 1-2 122 L
29/08 Auxerre
France Ligue 1
1-1 3-1 105 W
23/08 Lille
France Ligue 1
0-2 0-2 84 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paris FC vs Angers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Paris FC win (71%). Probabilities: Paris FC 71%, draw 19%, Angers 10%.

How many goals are expected in Paris FC vs Angers?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Paris FC 2.19 · Angers 0.71), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Angers?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.