Football · Belgium First Division A · 20/11, 20:45
Prediction: Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo
Team pages: Cercle Brugge · Westerlo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
Cercle Brugge2.04
Westerlo1.59
1X2
Cercle Brugge
Draw
Westerlo
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Cercle Brugge
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Westerlo
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cercle Brugge
3–1–2
Westerlo
(6 last)
- Westerlo0-2Cercle Brugge
- Cercle Brugge4-1Westerlo
- Cercle Brugge1-1Westerlo
- Westerlo3-0Cercle Brugge
- Westerlo4-2Cercle Brugge
- Cercle Brugge2-1Westerlo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cercle Brugge 1486 · Westerlo 1500
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Westerlo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| Market | 47% | 24% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cercle Brugge: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cercle Brugge | Westerlo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 2.5 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.6 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cercle Brugge 3–1–2 Westerlo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Belgium First Division A | Westerlo | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Cercle Brugge |
| 17/08/25 Belgium First Division A | Cercle Brugge | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Westerlo |
| 16/02/25 Belgium First Division A | Cercle Brugge | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Westerlo |
| 28/07/24 Belgium First Division A | Westerlo | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Cercle Brugge |
| 30/01/24 Belgium First Division A | Westerlo | 4-2 HT 4-1 | Cercle Brugge |
| 02/09/23 Belgium First Division A | Cercle Brugge | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Westerlo |
Standings · Belgium First Division A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Saint Gilloise | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 7 | 29 |
| 2 | Club Brugge | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 9 | 28 |
| 3 | Gent | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Charleroi | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 27 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Lommel | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
| 7 | Genk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 15 |
| 8 | Standard Liege | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 15 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 30 | 14 |
| 10 | OH Leuven | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 12 |
| 11 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 12 |
| 12 | Sint-Truidense | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 11 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 11 |
| 14 | Zulte-Waregem | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 11 |
| 15 | SK Beveren | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cercle Brugge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 9 |
| 17 | RAAL La Louviere | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 7 |
| 18 | KV Kortrijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cercle Brugge | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp | 2-1 W | 5-1 W |
| Anderlecht | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Charleroi | 2-3 L | 1-5 L |
| Lommel | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Sint-Truidense | 3-3 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Cercle Brugge (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cercle Brugge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 01/11 | Antwerp Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/10 | Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Anderlecht Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Charleroi Belgium First Division A |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | OH Leuven Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Gent Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 29/08 | Lommel Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Club Brugge Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/08 | Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A |
1-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | D |
Westerlo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Charleroi Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 1-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 31/10 | Anderlecht Belgium First Division A |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | SK Beveren Belgium First Division A |
2-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Antwerp Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Standard Liege Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 23/08 | Lommel Belgium First Division A |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | Genk Belgium First Division A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cercle Brugge win (47%). Probabilities: Cercle Brugge 47%, draw 24%, Westerlo 29%.
How many goals are expected in Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo?
The model expects 3.63 goals (Cercle Brugge 2.04 · Westerlo 1.59), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.