Football · Austria 2. Liga · 21/11, 15:30

Prediction: First Vienna FC 1894 vs SW Bregenz

Team pages: First Vienna FC 1894 · SW Bregenz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

First Vienna FC 18941.69

SW Bregenz0.92

1X2

55% 25% 20%

First Vienna FC 1894 Draw SW Bregenz

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

First Vienna FC 1894 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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SW Bregenz 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

First Vienna FC 1894 2–4 SW Bregenz (6 last)

First Vienna FC 18942-0SW Bregenz
SW Bregenz3-0First Vienna FC 1894
First Vienna FC 18942-1SW Bregenz
SW Bregenz3-2First Vienna FC 1894
First Vienna FC 18941-2SW Bregenz
SW Bregenz2-0First Vienna FC 1894

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · First Vienna FC 1894 1558 · SW Bregenz 1457

	First Vienna FC 1894	Draw	SW Bregenz
Our model	54%	26%	19%
Market	55%	25%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours First Vienna FC 1894 (rating 1558 vs 1457).
H2H favours SW Bregenz: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	First Vienna FC 1894	SW Bregenz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.9	1.5 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.2	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.70

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.70
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.86 ★
2	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.9% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:04 +20’	1.65	3.70	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:12 +11’	1.70	3.86	4.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · First Vienna FC 1894 2–0–4 SW Bregenz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Austria 2. Liga	First Vienna FC 1894	2-0 HT 2-0	SW Bregenz
30/11/25 Austria 2. Liga	SW Bregenz	3-0 HT 1-0	First Vienna FC 1894
11/04/25 Austria 2. Liga	First Vienna FC 1894	2-1 HT 2-0	SW Bregenz
27/09/24 Austria 2. Liga	SW Bregenz	3-2 HT 2-0	First Vienna FC 1894
17/02/24 Austria 2. Liga	First Vienna FC 1894	1-2 HT 0-0	SW Bregenz
28/07/23 Austria 2. Liga	SW Bregenz	2-0 HT 2-0	First Vienna FC 1894

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	12	10	1	1	35	6	31
2	First Vienna FC 1894	12	8	2	2	22	16	26
3	FK Austria Vienna II	12	7	2	3	20	15	23
4	FC Liefering	12	6	2	4	26	24	20
5	SV Austria Salzburg	12	6	1	5	21	18	19
6	Admira Wacker	12	6	1	5	15	13	19
7	FC Wacker Innsbruck	12	5	2	5	16	15	17
8	SKU Amstetten	12	4	5	3	20	20	17
9	SW Bregenz	12	4	4	4	15	16	16
10	ASK Voitsberg	12	4	3	5	23	21	15
11	St Polten	12	4	3	5	12	13	15
12	Sturm Graz II	12	4	2	6	21	25	14
13	Floridsdorfer AC	12	4	2	6	16	21	14
14	Rapid Vienna II	12	2	2	8	12	25	8
15	SV Kapfenberg	12	2	2	8	14	25	8
16	Hertha Wels	12	2	2	8	15	30	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	First Vienna FC 1894	SW Bregenz
FK Austria Vienna II	1-1 D	0-2 L
Floridsdorfer AC	2-0 W	4-0 W
ASK Voitsberg	2-1 W	0-0 D
St Polten	3-1 W	1-2 L
Hertha Wels	3-1 W	0-1 L
Rapid Vienna II	2-0 W	1-1 D
SKU Amstetten	1-0 W	0-0 D
Admira Wacker	1-0 W	1-0 W
FC Liefering	2-2 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	7 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: First Vienna FC 1894 (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

First Vienna FC 1894

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
31/10	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria 2. Liga	0-2	0-6	4	6	L
23/10	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	7	9	W
16/10	ASK Voitsberg Austria 2. Liga	2-1	2-1	9	7	W
09/10	St Polten Austria 2. Liga	1-1	3-1	6	7	W
18/09	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	0-0	3-1	9	4	W
11/09	Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
28/08	SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
21/08	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
16/08	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	5	4	D

SW Bregenz

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
31/10	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
24/10	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	1-1	2-2	3	2	D
17/10	SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
10/10	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
19/09	St Polten Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-2	1	8	L
12/09	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	3-0	4-0	2	11	W
29/08	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	3	9	L
22/08	Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga	2-1	3-1	2	4	W
15/08	ASK Voitsberg Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in First Vienna FC 1894 vs SW Bregenz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a First Vienna FC 1894 win (55%). Probabilities: First Vienna FC 1894 55%, draw 25%, SW Bregenz 20%.

How many goals are expected in First Vienna FC 1894 vs SW Bregenz?

The model expects 2.61 goals (First Vienna FC 1894 1.69 · SW Bregenz 0.92), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in First Vienna FC 1894 vs SW Bregenz?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.