Football · England League 1 · 20/11, 21:00
Prediction: Barnsley vs Sheff Wed
Team pages: Barnsley · Sheff Wed
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.29Total
Barnsley1.53
Sheff Wed1.76
1X2
Barnsley
Draw
Sheff Wed
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Barnsley
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Sheff Wed
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Barnsley
4–1–1
Sheff Wed
(6 last)
- Barnsley0-0Sheff Wed
- Barnsley4-2Sheff Wed
- Sheff Wed0-2Barnsley
- Barnsley2-0Sheff Wed
- Barnsley1-2Sheff Wed
- Sheff Wed1-2Barnsley
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barnsley 1441 · Sheff Wed 1513
| Barnsley | Draw | Sheff Wed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| Market | 32% | 25% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sheff Wed (rating 1441 vs 1513).
- H2H favours Barnsley: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barnsley | Sheff Wed | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.2 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.5 | 2.6 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barnsley 4–1–1 Sheff Wed
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/23 England League 1 | Barnsley | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sheff Wed |
| 21/03/23 England League 1 | Barnsley | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Sheff Wed |
| 03/09/22 England League 1 | Sheff Wed | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Barnsley |
| 17/07/21 Club Friendly List | Barnsley | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sheff Wed |
| 20/03/21 England Championship | Barnsley | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Sheff Wed |
| 12/12/20 England Championship | Sheff Wed | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Barnsley |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford Utd | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheff Wed | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 23 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 27 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barnsley | Sheff Wed |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Cambridge Utd | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Stockport | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Plymouth | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Blackpool | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sheff Wed (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barnsley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 31/10 | Oxford Utd England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 24/10 | Reading England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 20/10 | Luton England League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | Stockport England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Leicester England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 12/09 | Plymouth England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Stevenage England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-5 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 02/09 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 13 | 7 | W |
Sheff Wed
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Plymouth England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/11 | Blackpool England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 27/10 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 24/10 | Doncaster England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 20/10 | Notts County England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 17/10 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
3-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Peterborough England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barnsley vs Sheff Wed?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sheff Wed win (42%). Probabilities: Barnsley 33%, draw 25%, Sheff Wed 42%.
How many goals are expected in Barnsley vs Sheff Wed?
The model expects 3.29 goals (Barnsley 1.53 · Sheff Wed 1.76), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Barnsley vs Sheff Wed?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.